Maximize AFCON Transfers and Chip Strategy for FPL Success - Episode Hero Image

Maximize AFCON Transfers and Chip Strategy for FPL Success

FPL Harry · · Listen to Original Episode →
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TL;DR

  • To maximize benefits from the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) transfers, players must use all available transfers before Game Week 15's deadline to receive the maximum five free transfers in Game Week 16.
  • Failing to use all transfers in Game Week 15 limits players to a maximum of five free transfers in Game Week 16, regardless of their prior usage.
  • Players selected for AFCON are expected to be available for Game Week 16 fixtures but will likely miss Game Week 17, necessitating strategic transfer planning.
  • Chips (Free Hit, Triple Captain, Bench Boost, Wildcard) must be used by Game Week 19; unused chips are lost, not carried over to the second half of the season.
  • The Wildcard is best utilized in Game Week 15 to prepare for AFCON transfers or saved until Game Week 19 for optimal second-half season positioning.
  • Short-term punts should target teams with favorable upcoming fixtures, such as Manchester City and Newcastle, but consider potential rotation due to European competitions.
  • Players like Phil Foden are strong options due to consistent minutes and recent form, but potential rotation for upcoming fixtures requires careful consideration.

Deep Dive

Game week 15 is a crucial week in Fantasy Premier League, with the deadline approaching rapidly, and the primary objective is to utilize all available transfers to maximize benefits for the subsequent game week 16, which will feature Africa Cup of Nations transfers. The source emphasizes that if players do not use all their transfers in game week 15, they will only be topped up to a maximum of five free transfers in game week 16, regardless of how many they had remaining. Therefore, the general rule is to use all transfers this week to receive the maximum of five free transfers in game week 16.

The discussion then shifts to the Africa Cup of Nations, with players expected to be available for game week 16 but not for game week 17. Clubs like Manchester United and Everton have confirmed that their players will participate in game week 16 fixtures. A Premier League article is referenced for updated information on FPL-relevant players participating in the tournament, noting that Johan Bakayoko will remain with Newcastle and compete for minutes.

Next, chip strategy is addressed, with only five weeks remaining until game week 19 for the use of first-half-of-the-season chips. Any chips not used by game week 19 will be lost, as players will not be able to stack them for the second half of the season. The Free Hit chip is discussed, with game weeks 15 and 16 being potential options, as well as game week 19. The Triple Captain is considered, with Erling Haaland at home to West Ham in game week 15 and Bukayo Saka at home to Wolves in game week 16 being highlighted as potential choices, though Haaland at home to West Ham in game week 17 is preferred. For the Bench Boost, game weeks 16, 17, and 18 are identified as the best weeks due to favorable fixtures for promoted teams likely on benches, with game week 18 potentially offering the best combination. The Wild Card is suggested for game week 15 to set up the team for game week 16 and subsequent weeks, or alternatively, to save it until game week 19 to prepare for the second half of the season.

The source then explores one-week punt options for game week 15, highlighting Manchester City due to their offensive potential, despite a slight risk of rotation before their Champions League fixture. Newcastle at home to Burnley is also mentioned as a strong option for a short-term punt, even with potential rotation due to their Champions League commitments. Brighton at home to West Ham and Arsenal are also considered for clean sheet potential. Players like Matías Cuña, Bruno Fernandes, Bryan Broja, and Matías de Ligt are noted as potential punts for the Everton versus Manchester United fixture.

Looking at fixtures over the next six weeks, Liverpool is at the top, but buying them is not recommended due to recent form. Manchester United's fixtures are considered favorable if Bruno Fernandes is fit. Brentford's fixtures are also noted as good, with Mikkel Damsgaard expected to be a popular transfer in game week 16. Manchester City's upcoming ten-game fixture run is described as great, making players like Haaland, Joško Gvardiol, Phil Foden, and Julián Álvarez attractive. Newcastle's fixtures are deemed good for a short-term punt and potentially long-term, with Sunderland, Chelsea, and Manchester United following Burnley. Fulham is highlighted for needing a cheap defender like Tosin Adarabioyo, and Arsenal's defense is still considered strong. West Ham's fixtures are less appealing in the short term due to difficult away games against Liverpool and Arsenal.

Regarding specific player recommendations, for short-term prospects, Newcastle is the most considered team. João Félix is liked but lacks bonus points and double returns compared to the cheaper option of Damsgaard. Haaland and Damsgaard are identified as the top two forwards, with Félix as a potential one-week punt before moving to Damsgaard. Bruno Guimarães is noted as a reliable Newcastle pick, particularly at home, though rotation is a slight risk. Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes, and Jacob Murphy are advised against due to rotation risk in wide areas. For defenders, center-backs like Fabian Schär are preferred over fullbacks like Lewis Hall due to better attacking returns from center-backs. Nick Pope is considered a definite sell if owned, but Ramsdale is not recommended as a replacement.

Bournemouth's recent form, including Dominic Solanke's lack of goals since game week seven and low non-penalty expected goals, is discussed, making him a potential sell, though holding him for short-term fixtures against Chelsea and Burnley at home is an option. Marc Guéhi is also mentioned as a defender to consider selling.

Phil Foden is highlighted as a popular replacement, having scored back-to-back braces and starting every Premier League match since game week four with significant minutes. The primary risk with Foden is potential rotation due to Manchester City's midweek fixture against Real Madrid and their away game against Crystal Palace, though Pep Guardiola's statements about taking Sunderland seriously are noted with skepticism. Jeremy Doku is suggested as a cheaper alternative to Foden if minutes for Bernardo Silva and Rico Lewis are uncertain.

In terms of best players to buy across positions, David Raya is recommended for goalkeepers long-term, with Robert Sánchez as a cheaper, rotating option. In defense, William Saliba is mentioned, but Timber and Gabriel are considered safer options, with Timber being the preferred choice. For midfielders, Bruno Fernandes is a slight doubt, and Phil Foden is a strong option. Forwards Haaland and Damsgaard are the top two, with Danny Welbeck, Evan Ferguson, and Mateta as other considerations.

The speaker's personal team plans include a potential move from Semenyo to Phil Foden for game week 15, dependent on Semenyo's price drop. If this move is not made, a transfer from Mateta to Damsgaard is considered for game week 16. Other potential transfers involve moving Enzo Fernández or Mateta to acquire Damsgaard. The availability of Bruno Fernandes for the upcoming fixture is also a factor. The speaker's current team includes Raya, Timber, Van Dijk, Anderson, Richards, Saka, Haaland, Bruno Fernandes, Mateta, and Semenyo, with plans to potentially sell Mateta, Semenyo, and Enzo Fernández to bring in Foden and Damsgaard, and possibly Daniel Muñoz. The speaker mentions a red arrow from the previous week due to a -4 point hit.

Action Items

  • Track 5-10 key player transfer trends (e.g., Foden, Thiago) to inform strategic team adjustments.
  • Analyze 3-5 fixture turns over the next six weeks to identify optimal periods for chip usage (e.g., Free Hit, Wildcard).
  • Evaluate 2-3 potential one-week punt targets based on upcoming fixtures and recent performance data.
  • Measure the impact of AFCON availability on team composition by tracking player absences for 2-3 game weeks.
  • Plan chip usage across the remaining five game weeks (15-19) to maximize strategic advantage.

Key Quotes

"game week 15 is a very important week of fpl and the deadline is just two days away we have to use all our transfers going into this week if we want to get the maximum benefit out of the game week 16 africa cup of nations transfers that will get after the deadline"

FPL Harry explains that Game Week 15 is crucial for maximizing benefits from upcoming Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) transfers. He emphasizes the strategic importance of using all available transfers before the Game Week 16 deadline to receive the maximum number of free transfers.


"as a reminder of how things worked if you are still slightly unsure in game week 16 after the game week 15 deadline as soon as the game week updates you will be topped up to a maximum of five free transfers so if you go into game week 15 and you don't use all of your transfers you will still only go up to a maximum of five if you effectively would go into game week 16 with four free transfers you'd only get an addition of one whereas if you'd go in with one free transfer you'd get an additional four so basically the rule is to use all your transfers going into game week 15"

FPL Harry clarifies the transfer system related to AFCON, detailing how unused transfers from Game Week 15 affect the number of free transfers available in Game Week 16. He highlights that to receive the maximum of five free transfers in Game Week 16, a player must have used all their transfers in Game Week 15.


"so yeah as i said try and use all of your transfers this week to talk very briefly about the africa cup of nations again it sounds like players will be available for game week 16 and will not be available for game week 17 we've had a couple of clubs like manchester united as well as everton confirming that fact that their players will play game week 16 in their fixtures so even though man united is the monday night it sounds like the likes of brian and burmo and amad will play that fixture in game week 16 but they will not be available for game week 17"

FPL Harry discusses the availability of players during the Africa Cup of Nations, stating they are expected to play in Game Week 16 but will be unavailable for Game Week 17. He cites confirmations from clubs like Manchester United and Everton regarding their players' participation.


"next up we're going to do a little bit of chip talk so again we'll go through all of the chips and if you've still got them left available you've only got game week 15 16 17 18 and 19 so that's five weeks left you have got to use all of your chips game week 19 is the final week that you're allowed to play your first half of the season chips and then from game week 20 onwards just like the wild card used to be you will get all of the chips again you cannot stack them so if you don't use your chip in the first half of the season you won't have two of them in the second half you will effectively lose it and just have one in the second half of the season"

FPL Harry addresses the usage of in-game chips, noting that players have only five weeks remaining (Game Weeks 15-19) to use their first-half-of-the-season chips. He explains that unused chips will be forfeited and not carried over to the second half of the season, where a new set of chips becomes available.


"and finally is the wild card if you've still got it if you've got a few things that you want to change in your team at the moment you could absolutely play it in game week 15 and then when game week 16 rolls around just try and roll all of those transfers as much as possible and that is probably the general plan with the african cup of nations transfers to use a couple of them maybe two or three in the first couple of weeks but do your best to try and keep a steady pool of three or four in the bank most weeks but when we start to get doubles and blanks announced in the second half of the season when you might get injuries over the christmas period that you start to need to deal with that is probably the best aim in general with the african cup of nations transfers so you could go with game week 15 set yourself up nicely with the wild card and look to roll your african cup of nations transfers or i would look to save it all the way up until game week 19 so make some changes with those african cup of nations transfers in game week 16 when you get them and save the wild card until game week 19 to set yourself up well for the second half of the season"

FPL Harry discusses the Wildcard chip, suggesting it can be played in Game Week 15 to make immediate team changes and then rolling AFCON transfers. Alternatively, he proposes saving the Wildcard until Game Week 19 to strategically prepare for the second half of the season, especially after making initial AFCON-related transfers in Game Week 16.


"now looking slightly more long term here we're having a look at the fixtures over the next six weeks now liverpool do remain at the top but i just don't think we should be buying them another disappointing result this evening against sunderland that one one draw no real attacking returns to really write home about or of note defensively they conceded again van dijk got deaf con but he's just not worth the money"

FPL Harry advises against purchasing Liverpool players despite their top position, citing a recent disappointing draw and defensive lapses. He specifically mentions Virgil van Dijk's performance and value, suggesting he is not a worthwhile investment.

Resources

External Resources

Books

  • "The Grinch" - Mentioned in relation to a McDonald's meal promotion.

Articles & Papers

  • "FPL - AFCON Article" (Premier League) - Referenced for information on Africa Cup of Nations transfers and player availability.

Tools & Software

  • Fantasy Football Scout - Mentioned for providing discounts on fantasy football tools.
  • Plan FPL - Referenced for team planning.
  • FPL Rotation Planner - Discussed as a tool used in videos.
  • LiveFPL.net/prices - Mentioned as a price change predictor.
  • FantasyFootballScout.co.uk - Referenced for a free price change predictor.

Websites & Online Resources

  • fantasy.premierleague.com - Mentioned for subscriber and fantasy challenge league codes.
  • fplchallenge.premierleague.com - Referenced for a fantasy challenge league.
  • wrapped.tips/subscribe - Mentioned for signing up for a weekly email newsletter.
  • linktr.ee/FPL_Harry - Referenced for a link to all social media.
  • brex.com - Mentioned as a platform for corporate cards, banking, expense management, and travel.
  • lifelock.com - Referenced for identity theft protection services.
  • podcastchoices.com/adchoices - Mentioned for managing ad choices.
  • mcdonalds.com - Mentioned in relation to a "Grinch Meal" promotion.

Other Resources

  • Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) - Discussed in relation to player transfers and availability.
  • Chips (Fantasy Premier League) - Referenced in the context of game strategy and usage within the game.
  • Wild Card (Fantasy Premier League) - Discussed as a strategic chip for team changes.
  • Triple Captain (Fantasy Premier League) - Mentioned as a chip option for maximizing points.
  • Bench Boost (Fantasy Premier League) - Referenced as a chip option for maximizing points.
  • Free Hit (Fantasy Premier League) - Discussed as a chip option for a single game week.
  • Non-penalty xG - Mentioned as a metric for player performance analysis.
  • Deaf Con - Referenced as a metric for player performance.
  • Sports Social Podcast Network - Identified as the network for the podcast.

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