All Episodes
US Equity Outperformance Illusion: Earnings Sustainability Over Market Noise
Focus on sustainable earnings, not just market noise, to build resilient portfolios and achieve long-term returns, especially as US growth doesn't guarantee equity outperformance.
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US Economic Growth Outpaces Global Peers Driven by AI and Stimulus
The US economy leads global growth, fueled by AI investment and stimulus, positioning risk assets for a strong 2026 despite geopolitical risks. AI will drive productivity and new opportunities.
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Strategic Diversification for Risk-Adjusted Returns in Late-Cycle Environment
AI drives demand for energy and data centers, necessitating higher power prices, while emerging markets and Asia offer superior equity returns in 2026.
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Global Economic Outlook: US Growth Amidst China's Export Dominance
US growth hits 2.5% in 2026, fueled by fiscal boost and easing conditions, but AI-driven labor shifts pose a key risk.
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Global Economy 2026: Sturdy Growth, Stagnant Jobs, Stable Prices
AI-driven productivity growth will boost US GDP but may dampen consumer sentiment by weakening job opportunities.
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Venezuela's Oil Potential: US National Security and Shifting Global Flows
Unlock 2 million barrels of Venezuelan oil daily by 2030, potentially lowering global prices by $4 per barrel and reshaping US-China commodity flows.
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Trend Following and Dynamic Hedging Enhance Returns Amid Debt Crisis
Systematic trend following and long volatility strategies generate superior risk-adjusted returns by capturing market dislocations, while Bitcoin offers a government-resistant digital collateral alternative in a fracturing world.
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Diameter Capital's Total-Return Credit Strategy Amidst AI Disruption
Identify emerging credit market stress by analyzing consumer lending, packaging, and AI infrastructure, forecasting security price impacts over 3-24 months for superior returns.
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US-China Tech Race: Application, Installation, and Self-Sufficiency Challenges
China's strategic investment and application of technology, particularly in quantum communications and batteries, challenges US dominance, while US export controls inadvertently spur Chinese AI innovation.
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Public AI Markets Stable, Private Markets Show Bubble Risk
Public AI markets are sound, but private AI funding is a bubble. Discover opportunities in healthcare, select consumer segments, and AI revenue growth beneficiaries.
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AI and Repositioning Fueling Sustained M&A Surge into 2026
AI's seismic impact and shareholder pressure fuel a surge in mega-deals, driving strategic M&A for flexibility and nimbleness despite economic headwinds.
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Navigating Conflicting Signals for Fed Rate Cut Decisions
The Fed faces agonizing rate cut decisions amid conflicting labor and inflation signals, risking policy missteps as tariffs and shutdowns mask potential underlying economic strength or persistent inflation.
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