AI Augments Human Judgment for Contextual, Sovereign Applications
TL;DR
- AI systems trained on public internet data lack the nuanced context and lived experience of humans, leading to outputs that are often superficial and not personally relevant.
- The proliferation of accessible, open-source AI tools lowers the barrier for malicious actors, potentially increasing AI-assisted crime and disruption before sophisticated defenses are established.
- China's strategy focuses on developing efficient, small-scale AI for concrete processes, aiming to dominate global markets by embedding their systems into everyday infrastructure and commerce.
- Sovereign AI, tailored to specific cultures and languages, is crucial for global adoption, enabling practical applications like healthcare support for underserved populations rather than solely frontier models.
- Current AI's "people-pleasing" behavior stems from training on social media, making them engaging but lacking the evidence-based reasoning and accountability expected from an executive assistant.
- The integration of AI into transaction platforms like ChatGPT creates a "WeChat-like" ecosystem, fundamentally altering the advertising economy by shifting focus from ads to product specifications and peer reviews.
- Living laboratories, utilizing community-based experimentation with new policies and surveys, enable evidence-based change by allowing for direct measurement of what works and what does not for specific populations.
Deep Dive
The core argument is that artificial intelligence, while powerful, is fundamentally miscast when viewed as a replacement for human judgment and interaction. Instead, AI's true potential lies in augmenting human capabilities by providing context, facilitating productive conversations, and enabling self-reflection, thereby fostering "shared wisdom" rather than supplanting human decision-making. This perspective is critical because it reframes AI development towards human-centric applications, which is essential for addressing complex global challenges and ensuring technology serves societal needs.
The implications of this human-centric AI approach are far-reaching. Firstly, current AI, trained primarily on public internet data, often produces generic or unreflective responses because it mimics superficial conversations rather than deep understanding. This means that relying on AI for definitive answers is flawed; instead, AI should be a tool to enhance human analysis, providing data and insights that humans can then contextualize and act upon. The concept of "living labs" illustrates this, where communities use data and experimentation to test policies and drive evidence-based change, a model that AI can support by processing vast amounts of community data to identify effective interventions.
Secondly, the accessibility and affordability of AI are shifting its competitive landscape. While frontier models require immense investment, open-source advancements allow for the development of powerful, specialized AI systems that can run on personal devices or serve specific community needs. This democratization of AI means that nations and organizations can develop "sovereign AI"--systems tailored to their unique cultural contexts and practical needs. For instance, Abu Dhabi is investing in data infrastructure for a post-oil economy, while China focuses on efficient, small-scale AI for practical processes. This contrasts with the US venture capital model, which often prioritizes massive, generalist AI. The implication is that AI's future may be less about a few dominant "brainiac" systems and more about a diverse ecosystem of practical, context-aware AI.
Thirdly, the proliferation of accessible AI tools introduces significant risks, particularly from bad actors. As AI becomes easier to obtain and deploy, its use in criminal activities like deepfakes, bot armies, and security exploitation will increase. Countering this requires not only defensive AI systems, capable of monitoring global activity for malicious patterns, but also a proactive approach to developing AI that supports good actors. For example, AI is already improving fraud detection by analyzing traffic patterns, and similar applications can empower small businesses with tools for payroll and payments, and consumer organizations with shared wisdom platforms.
Finally, the evolution of AI from a conversational agent to a more integrated assistant signals a fundamental shift in commerce and advice. As AI like ChatGPT integrates transactional capabilities, it begins to resemble platforms like WeChat, where commerce, communication, and services converge. This change redefines advertising, shifting focus from broad campaigns to AI-driven product analysis and personalized recommendations, potentially diminishing the influence of traditional advertising for everyday purchases. At the high end, AI may evolve into sophisticated financial advisors, providing context and analysis for major purchases like homes or cars, transforming opaque markets into more transparent, value-driven exchanges.
The overarching takeaway is that AI's most impactful applications will not be those that replace human intelligence, but those that serve it. By focusing on AI as a tool for augmenting human context, facilitating collaboration, and enabling personalized, culturally relevant solutions, we can harness its power to address societal challenges and drive progress, while simultaneously guarding against its misuse and ensuring it aligns with human needs and values.
Action Items
- Create internal AI assistant: Populate with company manuals and newsletters to improve employee access to information and cultural integration.
- Design "sovereign AI" framework: Develop AI systems that reflect specific cultural contexts and languages for 3-5 target regions.
- Implement AI-assisted security monitoring: Deploy AI to analyze traffic patterns (not content) for coordinated suspicious activity across 10 key systems.
- Build community AI tools: Develop AI for small business owner groups to pool knowledge and identify best practices for 3-5 industry verticals.
- Audit AI outputs: For 5-10 AI-generated recommendations, verify evidence-based reasoning and cross-reference with original data sources.
Key Quotes
"And the obvious thing to do from a tech point of view is you build something that gives you the answer but that's wrong okay because humans are the ones that live in this world and we have to understand what's happening and when you build something it's it's like this is abstraction it sort of lacks the human element to it and also it's static so it's backward looking like all this ai stuff right it's all what people said five years ago you know 10 years ago so they can't keep up with current context they don't know how it feels to be a human so it's really important to have ai and humans work together where the humans can provide the context the perspective ai can help us and if you look at the places where we've been really really successful it helps us know what other people are thinking it helps us have conversations that are productive conversations and it helps us sort of reflect on ourselves to understand ourselves better and those are the three themes in the book and so that avoids the alignment by leaving the alignment with the people it's only when you try to replace people that you want to have things that are doing what we want and doing what we want well i don't know about you but i have a hard time knowing what i want"
Dr. Alex Pentland argues that building AI systems solely to provide answers is a flawed approach because it removes the essential human element and context. Pentland explains that AI, being static and backward-looking, cannot keep pace with current realities or understand human experience. He advocates for a collaborative model where humans provide context and perspective, enabling AI to assist more effectively in understanding others, fostering productive conversations, and promoting self-reflection.
"And the obvious thing to do from a tech point of view is you build something that gives you the answer but that's wrong okay because humans are the ones that live in this world and we have to understand what's happening and when you build something it's it's like this is abstraction it sort of lacks the human element to it and also it's static so it's backward looking like all this ai stuff right it's all what people said five years ago you know 10 years ago so they can't keep up with current context they don't know how it feels to be a human so it's really important to have ai and humans work together where the humans can provide the context the perspective ai can help us and if you look at the places where we've been really really successful it helps us know what other people are thinking it helps us have conversations that are productive conversations and it helps us sort of reflect on ourselves to understand ourselves better and those are the three themes in the book and so that avoids the alignment by leaving the alignment with the people it's only when you try to replace people that you want to have things that are doing what we want and doing what we want well i don't know about you but i have a hard time knowing what i want"
Dr. Alex Pentland contends that technology designed to simply provide answers is fundamentally flawed because it overlooks the crucial role of human understanding and context. Pentland elaborates that AI, by its nature, is static and based on past data, making it incapable of grasping current situations or the nuances of human experience. He proposes that AI should function in partnership with humans, with people supplying the necessary context and perspective, thereby enhancing AI's utility in comprehending others, facilitating meaningful dialogue, and encouraging personal insight.
"I mean i see ads i hear what happens on on you know streaming tv etc but it's usually only when you get into it that you realize hey this is not fun or wow this is a lot better than i thought it would be having things in line with that when we don't even know it seems a little bit unlikely if ai is ultimately training on human created material why isn't the output more human centric when all of the input is there's two things here one is you know what it's training on is just what people say on the internet it's not even what they say in private and it doesn't have all of the feeling and experience of actually being in a place so it's just saying oh this is what people say and you know you and i do this all the time also it's like if someone comes up and says hey what about x right you can give a paragraph of answer you may know almost nothing about it but you've heard things and you know that's what ais are they're sort of like the common conversation don't live your life according to what you hear you know in that sort of answer because some of it's right but some of it's not right and in particular it's not necessarily right for you"
Dr. Alex Pentland questions the human-centricity of AI output, noting that even with human-created input, AI often fails to align with individual desires or experiences. Pentland explains that AI trains on public internet data, which lacks the depth of private sentiment and lived experience, resulting in responses that reflect common discourse rather than personal truth. He likens AI to casual conversation, providing information that may be partially correct but not necessarily tailored or appropriate for the individual user.
"But now you're much more tuned in through this little uh it's like a smart librarian ai uh than you were before so you're part of the culture better you know what's going on you can be much more appropriate it's a really really sort of simple to do and b a little bit of genius you know technology and ai are both things that very much exist kind of without borders but as an advisor to the abu dhabi investment authority lab having worked with the eu and the un secretary general's office you know you've seen how different countries and different governments deal with the challenges and the opportunities that are posed by new technologies so the technology is somewhat without borders but what we do with it very much comes down to the governing body how are other countries addressing ai compared to the way the united states is are they doing something that we should be doing or is there something that we should all be doing together that we're really not yet yeah"
Dr. Alex Pentland highlights the potential of AI, exemplified by a "smart librarian" analogy, to enhance cultural awareness and appropriateness within organizations. Pentland suggests that such AI tools can make individuals more informed and integrated into their company culture, describing this as a simple yet ingenious application of technology. He then pivots to discuss how, despite technology's borderless nature, its implementation is heavily influenced by governing bodies, prompting a comparison of international AI strategies.
"And the other one to look at is loyalagents org just to sort of understand you know what it is that we'd like to have these ais do and what standards we ought to hold them to to be able to really say that they serve us and not just you know another persuasion engine so those are two things and you know my email is out there but i get a million emails a day and i'm sorry well professor patlin thank you so much for making the time uh we've really enjoyed this and we know our audience is going to get a lot out
Resources
External Resources
Books
- "Shared Wisdom: Cultural Evolution in the Age of AI" by Alex Pentland - Discussed as the source of themes on AI alignment with human nature, productive conversations, and self-reflection.
Articles & Papers
- "AI-assisted crime" - Mentioned as a growing concern due to the increased accessibility of AI tools.
- "Sovereign AI" - Referenced as AI systems designed to serve the specific needs and cultures of individual nations.
People
- Alex Pentland - Professor at MIT and Stanford University Fellow, credited with the concept and popularization of "living laboratories."
- Kevin Cole - Mentioned as a guest on the podcast discussing NFL analytics.
Organizations & Institutions
- MIT - Institution where Alex Pentland is a Toshiba Super Professor.
- Stanford University - Institution where Alex Pentland is a Fellow.
- Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) - Mentioned as an entity Alex Pentland advises regarding AI strategies.
- European Union (EU) - Mentioned as an entity Alex Pentland has worked with regarding technology.
- United Nations (UN) - Mentioned as an entity Alex Pentland has worked with regarding technology.
- OpenAI - Developer of ChatGPT, mentioned for its integration of purchasing capabilities.
- Mastercard - Mentioned for its use of AI to detect fraud.
- Intuit - Company mentioned for providing AI tools to small business owners.
- Etsy - Platform mentioned as an example of small businesses interfacing with AI-driven marketplaces.
Websites & Online Resources
- Taelor.style - Mentioned as a menswear rental subscription service utilizing AI stylists.
- deliberation.io - Website offering free, open-source software and resources for improving group conversations.
- loyalagents.org - Website to understand the desired functions and standards for AI agents.
Other Resources
- Data Science - Defined as understanding communities and situations through data, distinct from personal data.
- Living Laboratory - Described as an experimental approach where communities test new policies and changes to assess their effectiveness.
- AI (Artificial Intelligence) - Discussed in relation to its potential for both societal benefit and misuse, and the need for human-centric design.
- Deepfakes - Mentioned as a specific example of AI-assisted misuse by bad actors.
- WeChat - Referenced as a comprehensive platform in China integrating social networking, commerce, and work functions.
- Surveillance Capitalism - Mentioned as a disliked aspect of companies gathering personal data for sales.
- Enlightenment - Referenced as a historical period of significant cultural change.
- AI-assisted crime - Discussed as a growing concern due to the increasing accessibility of AI tools.
- Sovereign AI - Referenced as AI systems designed to serve the specific needs and cultures of individual nations.
- Loyal Agents - A concept for personally owned and serving AI that is practical and human-aligned.