Prediction Markets: Harnessing Crowd Wisdom or Enabling Corruption
Bettor living through Polymarket
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Books
- "The Cult of Trump" by John Herman (mentioned as a concept related to fandom in politics)
Articles & Papers
- "Bettor living through Polymarket" (nymag.com) - This is the article the podcast episode is based on, written by Jen Veitchner.
People Mentioned
- Shane Copeland (Founder of Polymarket) - Discussed as the entrepreneur behind Polymarket, his background, and his ambition.
- Donald Trump Jr. - Mentioned as advising both Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Jerome Powell - Mentioned in the context of a bet placed on Polymarket regarding his opening remarks.
- Vladimir Putin - Mentioned in relation to a bet on a ceasefire in Ukraine.
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy - Mentioned in relation to a bet on a ceasefire in Ukraine.
- Mark Zuckerberg - Mentioned as an entrepreneur Shane Copeland studied and emulated.
- Travis Kalanick - Mentioned as an entrepreneur Shane Copeland studied and emulated.
- Joe Biden - Mentioned in the context of a presidential debate and concerns about his age and ability to govern, with a prediction market leaning towards him dropping out of the race.
- Donald Trump - Mentioned in the context of his administration relaxing restrictions on Polymarket and his past as a casino owner.
- Adrian Brody - Mentioned as the subject of a bet on Polymarket regarding an Oscar win.
- Brian Armstrong (CEO of Coinbase) - Mentioned for joking about tracking prediction markets during a Coinbase earnings call.
- Denis Johnson - Author of the novella "Train Dreams."
Organizations & Institutions
- Polymarket - The central platform discussed, where people can place bets on various outcomes.
- New York Stock Exchange - Mentioned for investing in Polymarket.
- Intercontinental Exchange - The company that owns the New York Stock Exchange, which invested in Polymarket.
- NYU - Mentioned as the university Shane Copeland briefly attended.
- CNN - Mentioned as a news source discussing Joe Biden's age and ability to govern.
- The New York Times - Mentioned as a news source discussing election results and Joe Biden's fitness.
- Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) - The US regulatory body that investigated and settled with Polymarket.
- Kalshi - Another prediction market platform mentioned in comparison to Polymarket, which has a license in the US.
- Coinbase - Mentioned in relation to its CEO's comments on prediction markets.
- Volkswagen - Mentioned as a sponsor supporting various forms of soccer in the US.
Websites & Online Resources
- Polymarket (polymarket.com) - The platform for betting on various outcomes.
- strawberry me unstuck - A website mentioned for career coaching services.
- atlassian.com/jira - Website for Jira AI powered project management software.
- nymag.com - Publication where Jen Veitchner works.
- shopify.com/explained - Website for Shopify e-commerce platform.
- odoo.com - Website for Odoo integrated business software.
- saks.com - Website for Saks Fifth Avenue.
- vox.com - Mentioned in relation to joining their membership program.
Tools & Software
- Jira AI - Mentioned as an AI-powered project management software by Atlassian.
- VPN - Used by the podcast's reporter to access Polymarket from the US.
- Odoo - An all-in-one integrated business platform.
- Shopify - An e-commerce platform for building online stores.
Videos & Documentaries
- Train Dreams - A film from Netflix based on Denis Johnson's novella.
Research & Studies
- N/A
Courses & Educational Resources
- N/A
Other Resources
- Cryptocurrency - Mentioned as a requirement for placing bets on Polymarket.
- The Epstein Files - Mentioned as a topic available for betting on Kalshi.
- The "Cult of Trump" - A concept discussed in relation to political fandom.
- "Assassination market" - A theoretical concept of a prediction market designed for illicit purposes, discussed as a foundational concept in prediction markets.
- Prop betting - Mentioned in the context of sports betting scandals and their impact on trust in sports.
- "Welcome to the red kingdom" - A phrase used in reference to the perceived political leaning of Polymarket's predictions.