AI's Surreal Leap: Jobs Vanish, Math Conquered, Laundry Waits
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Resources & Recommendations
Organizations & Institutions
- Epoch AI - An organization that measures what's happening in AI by tracking permits, analyzing satellite imagery, and calculating the scaling of data centers.
People Mentioned
- David Owen (Epoch AI) - Interviewed in the podcast about Epoch AI's data-driven forecasts on the 2045 superintelligence timeline.
- Yafa Edelman (Epoch AI) - Interviewed in the podcast about Epoch AI's data-driven forecasts on the 2045 superintelligence timeline.
- Marco Mascorro (a16z partner) - Co-host of the podcast episode.
- Dario (Anthropic) - Mentioned for his bullish predictions on AI's capabilities, including AI writing 90% of code and AI systems equivalent to a country of geniuses by 2026 or 2027.
- Balaji - Mentioned for his phrase "AI is an end to end it's middle to middle," implying significant human involvement will still be needed.
- Jeff - Mentioned for his impression matching the idea that robotics progress is lagging behind due to physical manipulation being harder or deprioritized.
- Jaime - Mentioned as the co-host of a previous podcast where the 2045 superintelligence timeline was discussed.
Research & Studies
- "The Uplift Paper" - A research paper from early 2025 that claimed models would slow down productivity, though the models used were considered outdated by the time the report came out.
Tools & Software
- ChatGPT Agent - Used by the Epoch AI team for data center research to find permits on janky county-by-county databases.
- AlphaFold - An AI tool in biology mentioned for its significant contributions to protein folding prediction, which earned its inventors a shared Nobel Prize.
- WebNow - A benchmark for computer use mentioned as an example of current tools in the space.
- AutoGPT - A benchmark for computer use mentioned as an example of current tools in the space.
- Sonnet 3.5 - An AI model mentioned for its significant improvement in coding.
- Claude Code - An AI model mentioned for its significant improvement in coding.
- Codex - An AI model mentioned for its significant improvement in coding.
- AlexNet - A historical AI model from 2012 mentioned as a past benchmark that was solved long ago.
- SwiVen - A benchmark for measuring AI progress, mentioned as being close to solved.
- MMLU - A benchmark for measuring AI progress, mentioned as being close to solved.
Websites & Online Resources
- Epoch AI Website - Where their data center project, including permits, satellite images, and timelines of major data centers, is available for free.