Premier League Dominance Reflects Declining European Football Quality
TL;DR
- Premier League teams outside the top tier are "bullshit" and "fragile," indicating a significant gap in quality and tactical execution compared to the Premier League's top teams.
- Foreign football teams are generally "rubbish" and "half-assed," suggesting a lack of robustness and consistent performance when compared to the Premier League standard.
- Liverpool's recent inconsistent form, despite a Champions League win, highlights a pattern of unpredictable performances, making them unreliable for betting purposes.
- Brighton's unpredictability and ability to challenge top teams, contrasted with their failures against lesser opponents, makes them a risky but potentially rewarding proposition.
- Nottingham Forest's "below par" win against Wolves and subsequent losses suggest a team struggling for consistent positive results, even against weaker opposition.
- Manchester United, despite a perceived "shit season," are positioned in the top six, indicating a capacity to accumulate points without consistently convincing performances.
- Bournemouth's current slump, with no wins in six and failing to score in their last two, makes them a "no bet" proposition against most Premier League sides.
Deep Dive
Premier League gambling podcast hosts Malcolm Bamford and Barry Penaluna offer their betting picks for Matchday 16, but their analysis reveals a broader concern: the declining quality of European football outside the Premier League. This suggests a potential shift in the competitive landscape, where the Premier League's dominance may extend beyond financial power to encompass on-field quality.
The hosts' struggle to find compelling bets for many European matches, often deeming foreign teams "shit," "half arsed," and "fragile," underscores this concern. They explicitly state that most foreign teams wouldn't finish in the top half of the Premier League, a stark assessment that highlights a perceived gap in quality. This impacts betting strategies, as reliable outcomes become harder to predict when teams are consistently underperforming. The implication is that the Premier League is becoming a sanctuary for higher quality football, making its teams more predictable and potentially more profitable for bettors, while other leagues become riskier propositions. This trend could further solidify the Premier League's financial and sporting hegemony.
The core takeaway is that the perceived decline in quality across European football, outside of the Premier League, is creating a more predictable betting market for English matches and potentially concentrating talent and high-level competition within England. This shift has significant implications for betting strategies and the overall competitive balance of European football.
Action Items
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View Episode Notes →Key Quotes
"this is the 16th pick edition of the premier league gambling podcast on the sports gambling podcast network it's brought to you by underdog underdog is hooking up new customers play just 5 get 100 in bonus wins sign up with the code plgp"
Malcolm Bamford introduces the podcast and its sponsor, Underdog. Bamford highlights a promotional offer for new customers, emphasizing the ease of signing up with a specific code. This sets the stage for the episode's content, which will focus on Premier League betting picks.
"i ran for 25 minutes i'm up to 25 minutes of running now man doing good couldn't be fucking bothered with that anyway good three and a half kilometers the plan is to get to five kilometers by uh christmas"
Barry Penaluna describes his recent fitness routine, detailing his progress in running. Penaluna expresses a lack of enthusiasm for the activity but outlines a specific goal of reaching five kilometers by Christmas. This provides a personal anecdote and a glimpse into Penaluna's current lifestyle.
"i saw two fights for a start there was two young lads fighting early on got hauled out and then towards the end i saw two middle aged women squaring up in the middle of the air dance floor as well so it was lively"
Barry Penaluna recounts his experience at a concert, describing the energetic and somewhat chaotic atmosphere. Penaluna notes two distinct fights that occurred during the event, indicating a lively and unpredictable environment. This illustrates the memorable and eventful nature of the concert he attended.
"my point was i wanted the day off i wanted to not do a game because i'm not entirely sure barry as you know i can't be trusted in many situations can i i certainly can't be trusted with the microphone in my hand"
Malcolm Bamford explains his initial request to not commentate on a specific match. Bamford expresses a lack of self-trust regarding his ability to handle a microphone responsibly, suggesting a history of making questionable decisions or statements. This reveals Bamford's self-deprecating humor and his awareness of his own potential for error.
"all the foreign football teams seem a shit i've watched all the football the last two nights and they're all fucking rubbish no one's doing it properly it's so half arsed and fucking fema and weak and fragile and flimsy they're all bullshit you never see a team that plays like a proper team none of those teams not liverpool though mate"
Malcolm Bamford presents a strong opinion about the quality of foreign football teams. Bamford asserts that most teams he has watched recently are performing poorly, lacking proper execution and exhibiting weakness. He makes an exception for Liverpool, indicating a perceived difference in their performance level.
"i've got a hot take barry one of my hot takes all foreign football teams seem a shit i've watched all the football the last two nights and they're all fucking rubbish no one's doing it properly it's so half arsed and fucking fema and weak and fragile and flimsy they're all bullshit you never see a team that plays like a proper team none of those teams not liverpool though mate"
Malcolm Bamford shares a bold opinion regarding the performance of international football teams. Bamford criticizes the lack of quality and proper execution he has observed in recent matches, describing the teams as "rubbish" and lacking structure. He specifically excludes Liverpool from this critique, highlighting them as an exception.
Resources
External Resources
Books
- "The Jaffa Cake Book" by Dave - Mentioned as Dave's choice for best cake.
Articles & Papers
- "The Premier League Gambling Podcast" (Sports Gambling Podcast Network) - Primary subject of discussion and betting picks.
People
- Malcolm Bamford - Host of The Premier League Gambling Podcast.
- Barry Penaluna - Host of The Premier League Gambling Podcast.
- Pete Doherty - Mentioned in relation to a concert experience.
- Kate Moss - Mentioned in relation to Pete Doherty.
- Chloe - Mentioned as Pete Doherty's daughter.
- Adam Johnson - Mentioned in relation to a joke.
- Kevin Cole - Mentioned as a guest.
- Joe Dollar - Mentioned as a listener/participant.
- Fethworth - Mentioned as a listener/participant.
- Chris Train - Mentioned in relation to a league title.
- Dave - Mentioned for his cake preference and betting picks.
- Noah Sadiqi - Mentioned in relation to betting on yellow cards.
- Enzo La Fee - Mentioned in relation to betting on yellow cards.
- Harry Wilson - Mentioned as a potential anytime goal scorer.
- Andy - Mentioned in relation to betting picks.
- Matt Hughes - Mentioned as a Nottingham Forest fan.
- Ange Postecoglou - Mentioned in relation to Tottenham Hotspur.
- James Tarkowski - Mentioned in relation to a foul.
- Doucouré - Mentioned in relation to a foul.
- Mark Battenburg - Mentioned in relation to refereeing.
- El Cal Mari - Mentioned for providing betting picks.
- Captain Insano - Mentioned as a winner of a prediction league.
- Steve Gregory - Mentioned for a statistic.
- Joe Fethworth - Mentioned for a betting pick.
Organizations & Institutions
- Premier League Gambling Podcast - The podcast being discussed.
- Sports Gambling Podcast Network (SGPN) - The network hosting the podcast.
- Underdog - Sponsor offering betting bonuses.
- Kalshi - Sponsor offering a prediction market.
- Novig - Sponsor offering a sports prediction market.
- Rhythm - Sponsor offering an NFL and college basketball handicapping tool.
- Betfred - Mentioned in relation to an early payout offer.
- New England Patriots - Mentioned as an example team.
- Pro Football Focus (PFF) - Mentioned as a data source.
- Chelsea - Football club.
- Everton - Football club.
- Liverpool - Football club.
- Brighton & Hove Albion - Football club.
- Burnley - Football club.
- Fulham - Football club.
- Arsenal - Football club.
- Wolves - Football club.
- Manchester City - Football club.
- Sunderland - Football club.
- Nottingham Forest - Football club.
- Tottenham Hotspur - Football club.
- Crystal Palace - Football club.
- West Ham United - Football club.
- Aston Villa - Football club.
- Brentford - Football club.
- Leeds - Football club.
- Manchester United - Football club.
- Bournemouth - Football club.
- Real Madrid - Football club.
- Inter Milan - Football club.
- Bayern Munich - Football club.
- Lisbon - Football club.
- Brugge - Football club.
- Atlanta - Football club.
- PSV - Football club.
- Norwich - Football club.
- Derby - Football club.
- Ajax - Football club.
- Napoli - Football club.
- Benfica - Football club.
- PSG - Football club.
- Slavia Prague - Football club.
- Battenberg - Mentioned in relation to refereeing.
- Durham - Cricket team.
- England - Cricket team.
Websites & Online Resources
- linktr.ee/sportsgamblingpodcast - Provided link for SGPN bonuses and links.
- sg.pn/YouTube - Provided link to watch the Sports Gambling Podcast on YouTube.
- YouTube - Platform for watching podcasts.
- Twitter - Social media platform.
- sgpnpremier - Twitter handle for The Premier League Gambling Podcast.
- mal_b_sport - Twitter handle for Malcolm Bamford.
- toonbazza - Twitter handle for Barry Penaluna.
- pcm.adswizz.com - Website for AdsWizz information.
Other Resources
- 1-800-GAMBLER - Gambling helpline.
- 877-8-HOPENY - Gambling helpline.
- 1-800-327-5050 - Gambling helpline.
- 1-800-NEXT-STEP - Gambling helpline.
- 1-800-522-4700 - Gambling helpline.
- 1-800-BETs-OFF - Gambling helpline.
- 1-800-270-7117 - Gambling helpline.
- Champions League - Football competition.
- Premier League - Football league.
- Carabao Cup - Football competition.
- Afcon - Football competition.
- World Cup - Football competition.
- NFL - Football league.
- College Football - Sports league.
- College Basketball - Sports league.
- NBA - Basketball league.
- NHL - Hockey league.
- Jammie Dodgers - Biscuits.
- Battenberg Cake - Type of cake.
- Chocolate Cake - Type of cake.
- Cheesecake - Type of cake.
- Jaffa Cake - Type of cake.
- Battenberg - Mentioned in relation to refereeing.
- Exotic Plants - Mentioned in relation to a garden room.