AFCON 2025: Betting Value in Tournament Chaos and Underdog Potential

Key Quotes

"this afcon 2025 preview and picks edition of the premier league gambling podcast on the sports gambling podcast network is brought to you by underdog underdog is hooking up new customers play just 5 get 75 in bonus funds when you sign up with the code plgp welcome everybody to the premier league gambling podcast on the sports gambling podcast network"

Malcolm Bamford, the host, introduces the podcast episode and its sponsor, Underdog. He highlights a promotional offer for new customers, emphasizing the partnership between the podcast and the betting platform. This sets the stage for the episode's content, which will focus on betting angles for the upcoming AFCON tournament.

"i've had to take my specs off yes look at the smudge you had joel um we've have just finished the premier league picture there was a lot of people in there who then desert they just like fucking like the ship was going down people were handing in notes like try and get out of the piggy oh you've got an in growing tony i can't make the afcon show oh the dog ate it the dog ate my afcon bets sir they were just all they were all scattering like rats the fuckers"

Malcolm Bamford describes the reaction of some individuals to the upcoming AFCON tournament, contrasting it with their engagement in Premier League betting. He uses colorful language to illustrate how some people are avoiding AFCON-related bets, likening their actions to "scattering like rats." This highlights a perceived lack of interest from a segment of their audience for this specific tournament.

"so the plan for the next maybe half an hour we'll say half an hour um we're going to try and keep it as much business as possible um is that afcon gets underway on sunday the 21st and i don't know if many of you are aware i am the uh unofficial voice of african football that's what a lot of people are saying uh so i'm well positioned barry i'm well positioned to uh to take to guide everybody through this tournament"

Malcolm Bamford outlines the episode's structure, aiming for a business-focused discussion for the next half-hour. He then asserts his authority on African football, positioning himself as the "unofficial voice" and well-equipped to guide listeners through the AFCON tournament. This establishes his expertise and the episode's primary objective: providing insights and picks for AFCON.

"morocco the hosts are worthy favorites at five to two plus 250 uh egypt are 11 to two plus 550 algeria sixes stand a goal sixes nigeria tens ivory coast tunisia and mali all 12 to one the top eight uh down at 12 to one or below it's six groups of four which means the four third placed teams go through the four best third placed teams and we like that format we've done all right with it"

Barry Penaluna discusses the outright betting markets for the AFCON tournament, listing the favorites and their odds. He notes that Morocco, as hosts, are favored at five to two. Penaluna also expresses approval of the tournament format, where the four best third-placed teams advance, indicating it has been a profitable structure for them in the past.

"cameroon have so samuel eto'o who you all know is the president of the fa he sacked the manager mark bris so samuel eto'o sacked the manager and has announced a 26 man squad the manager has refused to accept that he's been sacked so he's also announced a 26 man squad a different one so cameroon have got two managers and two squads who the fuck's going to turn up next week i've got absolutely no idea they're completely different these two squads"

Malcolm Bamford details the chaotic situation within the Cameroonian Football Federation, where the FA president, Samuel Eto'o, has sacked the manager, who in turn refuses to acknowledge his dismissal and has named his own squad. Bamford highlights the confusion of having two managers and two distinct squads, expressing uncertainty about which team will actually participate. This illustrates a significant element of unpredictability for betting purposes.

"so we'll take two units we'll go what we're doing in quarter of a unit each way on congo gabon burkina faso they're the four players baz yeah i mean i'm disappointed because you've stole all my notes for burkina faso they're my underdog pick and i've put it because of their good form of going quite far into the tournament i've mentioned you've run us up third place fourth place in recent years so yeah i mean it looks like possibly have to settle for second in the group with algeria being strong favorite for that group but i saw burkina faso getting out of that group and at 100 to one were a team i thought might make a run for those later stages once again and get a decent opportunity to trade out further down the line"

Malcolm Bamford outlines his outright betting strategy, focusing on each-way bets for Congo, Gabon, and Burkina Faso. He specifically mentions Burkina Faso as an underdog pick due to their consistent performance in recent AFCON tournaments, noting their history of reaching the semi-finals and third/fourth place finishes. Bamford believes they have a good chance to advance from their group, even with Algeria as a strong favorite, and could make a run in the later stages, offering an opportunity to trade out bets.