The Monroe Doctrine's Evolution to "Don Roe Doctrine" Tribute Demands
TL;DR
- The Monroe Doctrine, initially a cautious statement in 1823, evolved into a justification for U.S. dominance, enabling interventions and shaping Latin American policy based on U.S. power rather than international law.
- U.S. foreign policy often retreats to asserting dominance in the Western Hemisphere during periods of global power decline, using Latin America as a testing ground for projecting influence when international reach falters.
- Trump's "Don Roe Doctrine" represents a shift from ideological justifications to a direct demand for tribute, turning Venezuela into a vassal state and signaling a moral emptiness in U.S. foreign policy.
- Roosevelt's "international police power" corollary expanded the Monroe Doctrine to justify intervention for "chronic wrongdoing," often provoked by U.S. private interests, creating a cycle of instability and U.S. intervention.
- FDR's renunciation of intervention in 1933 strengthened U.S. power by focusing it, fostering goodwill in Latin America, and creating continental unity that supported the Allied effort in World War II.
- The U.S. has a history of direct intervention in Latin America, exemplified by the capture of Manuel Noriega and the forced exile of Jean-Bertrand Aristide, demonstrating precedents for unilateral actions.
- The U.S. often frames its interventions through ideological lenses, such as spreading democracy or fighting communism, but Trump's approach prioritizes material interests and tribute, lacking a durable governing ideology.
Deep Dive
The Monroe Doctrine, initially a cautious statement in 1823, has evolved into a flexible justification for U.S. dominance in the Western Hemisphere, serving as a historical fallback for American power projection when global influence wanes. This "Don Roe Doctrine," as Trump's foreign policy is being termed, signifies a return to asserting regional preeminence through unilateral actions, exemplified by the Venezuela situation, prioritizing tribute and control over idealistic notions of democracy or international law.
The historical arc of U.S. foreign policy reveals a recurring pattern: when global ambitions falter or face significant challenges, the U.S. often pivots back to Latin America to reassert its dominance and establish a sense of control. This phenomenon is not new; it occurred after the Great Depression, post-Vietnam, and following the War on Terror. Greg Grandin argues that Trump's actions in Venezuela are a contemporary manifestation of this pattern, occurring at a time of perceived U.S. weakness on the global stage, particularly in the face of China's rise. The Monroe Doctrine, originally a vague statement warning European powers against recolonization, was progressively expanded through interpretations like Grover Cleveland's assertion of absolute sovereignty and Theodore Roosevelt's "international police power" corollary. These expansions transformed the doctrine from a defensive posture to an offensive tool, enabling U.S. intervention for its own perceived interests. Franklin D. Roosevelt's Good Neighbor policy in 1933 represented a significant reversal, renouncing the right of intervention and fostering goodwill that proved crucial for wartime alliances. However, this era of cooperation has been supplanted by a return to unilateralism, where U.S. policy is driven by a transactional, "tribute-based" approach rather than a cohesive ideological vision.
The current situation in Venezuela highlights this shift. While previous U.S. interventions have often been framed within broader ideological narratives, such as fighting communism or promoting democracy, the Trump administration's approach to Venezuela appears more transactional and less concerned with establishing a stable, democratic successor state. The stated goal of securing Venezuelan oil, despite market gluts and significant investment needs, suggests a focus on tangible assets and a desire to project power reminiscent of a "pirate" or "colonial plunderer." This lack of a grander, durable ideology distinguishes Trump's approach from that of FDR or Reagan, who used foreign policy to forge broad coalitions and lasting governing principles. Instead, the "Don Roe Doctrine" seems to represent a substitute for liberal internationalism, appealing to an "America First" nationalism that prioritizes regional control and demands tribute, effectively turning Venezuela into a vassal state. Precedents for direct intervention, such as the capture of Manuel Noriega or the ousting of Jean-Bertrand Aristide, exist, but the current strategy of demanding oil tribute without a clear plan for political transition or long-term engagement marks a departure. This approach reflects a strategic calculation to avoid prolonged military engagement and nation-building efforts, aligning with a national sentiment wary of "forever wars," while still asserting U.S. power in its traditional sphere of influence.
Action Items
- Audit US foreign policy: Analyze 3-5 historical instances of US intervention in Latin America to identify patterns of "turning back to the hemisphere" during periods of global power recession.
- Create framework: Define criteria for evaluating the "Don Roe Doctrine" against historical US foreign policy doctrines (e.g., Monroe Doctrine, Roosevelt Corollary, FDR's Good Neighbor Policy) to assess its novelty and impact.
- Measure impact: For 3-5 recent US foreign policy actions in Latin America, calculate the correlation between stated ideological goals and material interests (e.g., oil, tribute).
- Draft policy brief: Outline 2-3 potential second-order consequences of unilateral US sanctions on Latin American nations, referencing historical examples of their effectiveness and unintended outcomes.
- Evaluate intervention strategy: Compare the stated goals and execution of 2-3 past US interventions in Latin America (e.g., Noriega, Aristide) to the current approach in Venezuela, identifying risks of unintended destabilization.
Key Quotes
"The Monroe Doctrine of, I think it was 1823, I want to say, basically said that America would assert its dominance over the entire American region. And since then, it's changed a number of times. But the way it's being talked about now is as the Trump corollary or the Don Roe Doctrine, which was described in the National Security Strategy documents of the Trump administration put out back in December. And that one's a little different. So we keep seeing these amendments to the doctrine."
The hosts, Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal, introduce the concept of the Monroe Doctrine and its evolution. They highlight how the doctrine has been reinterpreted over time, noting the emergence of the "Don Roe Doctrine" as a modern amendment within the Trump administration's National Security Strategy. This sets the stage for a discussion on how historical foreign policy principles are adapted and applied in contemporary contexts.
"Well, it's certainly been influential and it's certainly been cited repeatedly over the years. I mean, first, I think we need to back up and say exactly what makes it a doctrine. It was never voted on. No court ratified it. It didn't actually assume the status of doctrine until a couple of decades after it was pronounced in 1823 when James Monroe was president at the time."
Greg Grandin, the guest historian, explains the origins and nature of the Monroe Doctrine. He clarifies that it was not a formally ratified legal document but rather a statement that gained the status of a doctrine over time through repeated citation and interpretation. Grandin emphasizes that its influence grew decades after its initial pronouncement.
"And then in 1904, along similar lines, Theodore Roosevelt developed when he was president, he expanded the doctrine with his own corollary to what he called international police power to suppress chronic wrongdoing in Latin America. Now, I must say that most of that chronic wrongdoing was provoked by US banks and US mercenaries and US oil extractors."
Greg Grandin details Theodore Roosevelt's expansion of the Monroe Doctrine. Grandin explains the "international police power" corollary, which allowed the U.S. to intervene in Latin American countries to address perceived "chronic wrongdoing." He critically notes that this wrongdoing was often instigated by American private interests, such as banks and oil companies.
"And so there is a kind of turning back to Latin America. And we can get to this a little bit later if you want. But Trump's actions in Venezuela are a perfect example of what happens when, you know, the United States, you know, its bid to go global fails and it has to return to its hemisphere. And that's why the Monroe Doctrine is so important. Latin America is the first place in which the United States got a sense of itself as an overseas power. You know, it was able to project its power, its financial power, its cultural power, its military power beyond its own borders."
Greg Grandin connects the historical significance of Latin America to U.S. foreign policy with contemporary actions. He argues that when the U.S. experiences setbacks in its global ambitions, it tends to refocus its power projection on its own hemisphere, citing Trump's actions in Venezuela as a prime example. Grandin highlights Latin America's role as the initial arena for the U.S. to develop and exercise its power internationally.
"I mean, normally when presidents turn back to Latin America to kind of regroup or rebalance after global crises, they kind of come up with new kind of worldviews to widen their electoral base, to deepen their coalition, to, you know, they try to create a sense of hegemony, right? So you had FDR using Latin America to put forth a kind of social democratic continental New Deal. Then Reagan after Vietnam, a kind of muscular anti-communist liberalism, but understood in moral terms, a kind of reassertion of American purpose, American sets of itself as a defender of world freedom."
Greg Grandin contrasts Trump's approach to Latin America with that of previous presidents. He explains that historically, U.S. re-engagement with the region after global crises involved developing new ideological frameworks, such as FDR's "continental New Deal" or Reagan's "muscular anti-communist liberalism," aimed at solidifying power and purpose. Grandin suggests that Trump, however, has not attempted to create a comparable governing ideology.
"Yeah, yeah. Well, in Latin America, there are two precedents. One is obviously Manuel Noriega in 1989 when George H.W. Bush sent about 30,000 Marines in to capture Noriega on a warrant, basically to arrest him. It was considered a police action and and that's how it was legally justified. Noriega was an ally of the United States. He was a CIA asset in the 1980s."
Greg Grandin provides historical precedents for U.S. military actions in Latin America involving the apprehension of foreign leaders. He details the 1989 intervention to capture Manuel Noriega, explaining that it was framed as a police action and legally justified. Grandin also notes Noriega's prior relationship with the U.S. as a CIA asset.
Resources
External Resources
Books
- "America America: A New History of the New World" by Greg Grandin - Mentioned as the author's new book.
Articles & Papers
- "National Security Strategy documents of the Trump administration" (Trump Administration) - Discussed as the source of the "Trump corollary" or "Don Roe Doctrine."
- "Hersh report" (The New York Times) - Detailed Manuel Noriega's deep involvement in drug running.
People
- Greg Grandin - Guest, professor of history at Yale and author.
- James Monroe - U.S. President at the time the Monroe Doctrine was pronounced.
- John Quincy Adams - Monore's Secretary of State, credited with writing the Monroe Doctrine.
- Henry Clay - Mentioned as having imagined a large American mercantile system.
- Grover Cleveland - Declared the Monroe Doctrine granted the U.S. absolute sovereignty over the Western Hemisphere.
- Theodore Roosevelt - Developed the "international police power" corollary to the Monroe Doctrine.
- Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR) - Renounced the U.S. right to intervene in Latin America in 1933.
- Manuel Noriega - Former ally and CIA asset captured by the U.S. in 1989.
- Jean Bertrand Aristide - Former president of Haiti, removed from power in 2005.
- Marco Rubio - Mentioned in relation to plans for reconstruction and transition to democracy in Venezuela.
Organizations & Institutions
- Yale - Greg Grandin's affiliation as a professor of history.
- Bloomberg Audio Studios - Producer of the "All Thoughts" podcast.
- Barkley's Investment Bank - Producer of the "Barkley's Brief" podcast.
- National Endowment for Democracy - Funded organizations that destabilized Haiti.
- USAID - Funded organizations that destabilized Haiti.
Websites & Online Resources
- Bloomberg.com/oddlots - For more "Odd Lots" content and the daily newsletter.
- Discord.gg/oddlots - For discussion of podcast topics.
Other Resources
- Monroe Doctrine - A U.S. policy asserting dominance over the American region, first pronounced in 1823.
- Trump Corollary / Don Roe Doctrine - A reinterpretation of the Monroe Doctrine discussed in the Trump administration's National Security Strategy documents.
- Doctrine of Conquest - A concept that Latin America sought to abrogate with its independence.
- International Police Power - Theodore Roosevelt's expansion of the Monroe Doctrine to suppress chronic wrongdoing in Latin America.
- Falangism - A political ideology present in Spain and Latin America.
- American First Nationalism - A political ideology that correlates with the Monroe Doctrine.