Agency and Speed Trump Intelligence in AI-Driven Economy - Episode Hero Image

Agency and Speed Trump Intelligence in AI-Driven Economy

Original Title:

TL;DR

  • High agency, defined as the ability to figure things out and get things done, is becoming more valuable than raw intelligence in an AI-driven world, enabling individuals and companies to execute faster and adapt to rapid technological change.
  • The increasing power of AI tools suggests a potential shift away from large, traditional organizations towards smaller, agile companies that can grow rapidly by leveraging AI for productivity and execution.
  • Build-versus-buy decisions are evolving, with a growing emphasis on internal development ("build") to gain speed and control, especially as AI tools accelerate prototyping and MVP development cycles.
  • Speed and execution are paramount, with a focus on being directionally correct and iterating rapidly, rather than striving for unattainable perfection, which is crucial for entrepreneurial success.
  • The financial sector is poised for significant transformation due to AI and blockchain, potentially leading to increased efficiency, margin expansion, and re-ratings of valuations as banks adopt tech-driven platforms.
  • Early adoption and experimentation with AI tools are critical for individuals to gain a competitive advantage, as those who resist adaptation risk being left behind by faster-moving counterparts.

Deep Dive

High agency, the ability to execute and adapt, is rapidly eclipsing raw intelligence as the most critical trait for success in an AI-driven world. This shift is fundamentally altering business, from the demise of large, slow-moving organizations to the resurgence of agile build-versus-buy decisions, and is poised to drive significant economic growth.

The implications of prioritizing agency over mere intelligence are profound. Andre Karpathy's sentiment of feeling behind despite his AI expertise highlights how the rapid pace of AI development necessitates constant adaptation and rapid execution, rather than just deep knowledge. This is exemplified by companies like Klarna, which initially reduced support staff due to AI but later rehired them, suggesting a complex interplay where AI augments rather than entirely replaces human roles, but the ability to integrate and leverage these tools quickly is paramount. This dynamic favors smaller, founder-led entities that can pivot rapidly, as evidenced by the emergence of companies achieving substantial ARR in mere months, a speed that large incumbents struggle to match. The "build over buy" debate is also being redefined; it’s no longer just about internal development versus acquisition, but about acquiring capabilities that drastically accelerate development cycles, making speed of execution the primary driver of value. For example, acquiring a writing company to reduce development time by over half demonstrates how strategic purchases are now about buying speed, not just talent or product.

This emphasis on speed and execution is a direct precursor to projected economic expansion. Predictions point to double-digit GDP growth within 18 months, with potential for triple-digit growth in five years, fueled by applied intelligence and AI's productivity gains. This optimism is reflected in the financial sector, where deregulation and AI-driven efficiencies are leading to easier, cheaper access to capital for businesses. Banks are actively seeking to lend, offering more flexible terms and lower rates than seen in years, suggesting a loosening of credit conditions that stimulates economic activity. Furthermore, financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan are predicted to achieve "MAG 7" status, not through traditional lending alone, but by leveraging AI and blockchain to become highly efficient, software-driven platforms, potentially leading to significant re-ratings of their valuations.

The core takeaway is that adaptability and rapid execution are now the primary determinants of success, far outweighing traditional measures of intelligence. Businesses and individuals who embrace experimentation, prioritize speed, and proactively integrate AI will be best positioned to thrive in an economy undergoing rapid transformation, while those resistant to change risk obsolescence.

Action Items

  • Build AI adoption framework: Define 3-5 core AI tools and establish 10-20% weekly learning time for team experimentation.
  • Create "Build vs. Buy" decision rubric: Outline 5 criteria for evaluating AI tool acquisition versus in-house development, prioritizing speed and cost-effectiveness.
  • Audit AI integration points: Identify 3-5 key business processes and assess current AI impact, projecting potential productivity gains and efficiency improvements.
  • Track AI-driven productivity metrics: Measure output changes for 3-5 core tasks before and after AI tool implementation to quantify execution speed improvements.
  • Design founder-led AI growth strategy: Define 2-3 actionable steps for leveraging AI to accelerate product development and market entry within a 3-month timeframe.

Key Quotes

"agency is a company that just goes assuming we're talking about marketing agencies but a company that just agencies in general no i'm referring to the word agency like a trait and so you have intelligence or agency so when i when i say agency um someone who is high agency is someone who knows how to figure things out they know how to get shit done okay so in today's day and age what do you think is more important high intellect or high agency uh high agency of just getting stuff done because you can get a lot of the intellect from ai yeah"

Neil explains that "agency" refers to a personal trait of being able to figure things out and get tasks accomplished. He argues that in the current era, this trait of high agency is more valuable than high intellect because artificial intelligence can now provide much of the intellectual capacity needed.


"2026 will be the year when ai starts affecting for real been preparing for this since 2022 suffer dev costs dropping to zero context engineering will be central build will win over buy which is something we can talk about build will win over buy i want to highlight that one for a second in large organizations doing yourself doing things faster yourself versus delegating"

Sebastian Semelksy, CEO of Klarna, predicts that AI's impact will become significant in 2026, with development costs decreasing and "context engineering" becoming crucial. Semelksy also highlights that in large organizations, the trend will shift towards building solutions internally rather than buying them, emphasizing speed and self-sufficiency.


"Wouldn't this also essentially mean the end of large organizations so he's like and then sebastian responds he says yes it very it very well might two trends will meet large org ceo doing founder ai mode small companies growing insanely fast they meet up in the middle and we're already seeing this very quickly there's a lot of companies getting to 20 million arr in like three to six months or so hundreds of millions in arr in in you know one to two years"

Klaus questions whether the rise of AI might signal the end of large organizations, to which Sebastian Semelksy agrees. Semelksy posits that two converging trends--large organizations adopting a "founder AI mode" and small companies experiencing hyper-growth--will reshape the business landscape, with many companies rapidly achieving significant annual recurring revenue.


"The biggest thing you can do right now if you're listening to this and you're 18 20 years old or whatever it is exactly is you go out and you experiment with these things this goes back to what i was saying like if you say you don't have time to learn this even spending 10 to 20 of your time or your working hours learning this stuff um it's crazy to me to not know this and you're going to have such an advantage over other people who have been in the workforce for a very long time who don't want to adapt and think they can get away with this"

The speaker emphasizes the importance of experimentation and continuous learning with new technologies, particularly for younger individuals. They argue that dedicating even a portion of working hours to learning these tools will provide a significant advantage over those who resist adaptation and believe they can maintain their current methods.


"The beautiful thing like i think your team um maybe you're not in the details on this but we're not even going to be saying the word mvp anymore it's just going to be like hey just get a prototype out and a prototype now is just like a vibe coded thing that's designed well or you're using something like alloy app and it takes your screen um you take a screenshot of something that you like neil we used to do this all the time we'll screenshot things that we like and just like hey can you you go to your dev team can you do this or you designers can you just do this now it's just like you just take the screenshot drag it over to alloy and say hey just fold it into my app and boom you have a screenshot and then you just move a lot faster that's where we're going guys things are just going to move a lot faster"

This quote highlights a shift in product development, moving away from the concept of a Minimum Viable Product (MVP) towards rapid prototyping. The speaker explains how tools like Alloy App enable quick creation of functional prototypes by simply dragging and dropping screenshots, significantly accelerating the development process.


"The biggest thing you can do right now if you're listening to this and you're 18 20 years old or whatever it is exactly is you go out and you experiment with these things this goes back to what i was saying like if you say you don't have time to learn this even spending 10 to 20 of your time or your working hours learning this stuff um it's crazy to me to not know this and you're going to have such an advantage over other people who have been in the workforce for a very long time who don't want to adapt and think they can get away with this"

The speaker emphasizes the importance of experimentation and continuous learning with new technologies, particularly for younger individuals. They argue that dedicating even a portion of working hours to learning these tools will provide a significant advantage over those who resist adaptation and believe they can maintain their current methods.


"The impact of ai as well they're probably going to you know probably they're going to become a lot more profitable a lot more efficient and all the money that they have um all the lending that they're going to be doing and so he's just i i think he's just saying that you want to take a look at goldman and jp morgan so not financial advice but i think it was an interesting thesis it is and when you look at the lending side which really helps to make the economy go round and round"

This quote discusses the potential for financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan to become more profitable and efficient due to AI. The speaker suggests that these banks could see significant growth and become major players, akin to the "Mag 7" tech companies, driven by AI's impact on lending and overall operations.

Resources

External Resources

Books

  • "Why Greatness Cannot Be Planned" - Mentioned as a rationale for taking one step forward every day and embracing uncertainty in building something great.

People

  • Sebastian Simacher - CEO of Klarna, mentioned for his tweets regarding AI's impact on business and the concept of "build will win over buy."
  • Andre Karpathy - Mentioned for his statements on AI, programming, and the idea that agency supersedes intelligence.
  • Sean - Co-founder, mentioned for generating a large volume of tokens and writing significantly more code with AI assistance.
  • Klaus - Mentioned for tweeting a question about whether AI trends signal the end of large organizations.
  • Elon Musk - Mentioned for his prediction of double-digit GDP growth within 12-18 months, linked to applied intelligence.
  • Mark Andreessen - Mentioned for stating that it is "time to grow" rather than "time to build."
  • Scott Bessen - Mentioned for his bullish outlook on the economy and potential for money to "fall from the sky" in 2026.
  • David Sachs - Mentioned as a figure contributing to a bullish economic sentiment.
  • Tom Lee - Fundstrat analyst, mentioned for his thesis that Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan could achieve "Mag 7" status due to AI and blockchain.

Organizations & Institutions

  • Klarna - Buy now, pay later company, mentioned for its past focus on and subsequent rollback of agents, and its CEO's tweets on AI.
  • Zapier - Mentioned for its practice of holding hackathons to increase AI adoption.
  • Goldman Sachs - Mentioned as a potential beneficiary of AI and blockchain, possibly achieving "Mag 7" status.
  • JP Morgan - Mentioned as a bank actively seeking to lend more money and potentially achieving "Mag 7" status.
  • Truist - Mentioned as a bank actively seeking to lend more money.
  • Key Bank - Mentioned as a bank actively seeking to lend more money.
  • Zions Bank - Mentioned as a bank actively seeking to lend more money.

Websites & Online Resources

  • Threads - Social media platform, discussed as a "cesspool" that vilifies success, but also a place for engagement and trolling.
  • X - Social media platform, described as more finely tuned and productive for learning about AI and research.

Other Resources

  • Agency - Concept discussed as the ability to figure things out and get things done, considered more important than intelligence in the current age.
  • Intelligence - Concept discussed in comparison to agency, with AI potentially providing much of it.
  • AI (Artificial Intelligence) - Discussed as a transformative technology affecting business, programming, and economic growth.
  • Build will win over buy - Concept discussed in relation to large organizations and the preference for internal development versus acquisition.
  • Sub agents - Mentioned in the context of new AI developments impacting programming.
  • MCPS - Mentioned in the context of new AI developments impacting programming.
  • AI Studio - Tool mentioned for enabling users to do more with less using AI.
  • Alloy App - Tool mentioned for quickly creating app prototypes from screenshots.
  • MVP (Minimum Viable Product) - Concept discussed in relation to rapid prototyping with AI.
  • Prototype - Discussed as a replacement for MVP, achievable quickly with AI.
  • Gen AI website traffic share - Metric discussed comparing ChatGPT and Gemini's website traffic.
  • AI Overviews - Google feature discussed as a potential driver of traffic, though its inclusion in AI traffic is debated.
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) - Mentioned in relation to economic growth predictions.
  • Applied Intelligence - Used as a proxy for economic growth.
  • Blockchain - Technology mentioned as a factor in the potential re-rating of bank valuations.
  • Stablecoin - Mentioned in the context of increased use with blockchain.
  • FHA (Federal Housing Administration) - Mentioned in relation to mortgage coverage.
  • Fannie Mae - Mentioned in relation to mortgage coverage.
  • Freddie Mac - Mentioned in relation to mortgage coverage.
  • Jumbo mortgage - Type of mortgage discussed in relation to flexible terms and rates.
  • Interest only loan - Type of loan discussed with specific terms.
  • AI adoption - Discussed as a baseline requirement in organizations.
  • Employee intensity - Concept discussed in relation to financial services and AI's impact.
  • Risk management - Back office task mentioned as being automated by AI.
  • Settlements - Process mentioned as being streamlined by blockchain.
  • Asset tokenization - Process mentioned as being enhanced by blockchain.
  • Payment systems - Process mentioned as being enhanced by blockchain.

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