Eclipse Awards Reveal Nuance in Equine and Human Achievement Recognition
TL;DR
- Commandment's dominant win in the Mucho Macho Man, despite being a one-turn race, positions him as a strong Kentucky Derby contender due to his pedigree, looks, and trainer's confidence in his upside.
- A coordinated nationwide strategy for condition books and race scheduling among state racing secretaries could significantly improve field sizes and benefit the sport, rather than competing tracks within the same state.
- Florida-bred horses, while potentially impressive, face a historical disadvantage in winning the Kentucky Derby, as evidenced by Strategic Risk's Smarty Jones victory, making him a less likely Derby contender.
- The Eclipse Award for Older Dirt Male should consider horses with a strong North American presence, raising questions about Forever Young's candidacy despite his Breeders' Cup Classic win due to only one US start.
- Flavien Prat's strong performance, marked by 13 Grade 1 wins, narrowly edges out Irad Ortiz Jr. for the top jockey title, highlighting a highly competitive year with minimal earnings separation.
- The passing of legendary trainer D. Wayne Lukas, while a significant event, is argued to be too profound and sad to be categorized as the "NTRA Moment of the Year," which should celebrate positive achievements.
Deep Dive
The 2025 Eclipse Award categories reveal a nuanced landscape where performance, consistency, and narrative intersect, highlighting the subjective nature of recognizing equine and human achievement. While statistical dominance is a primary factor, the "moment of the year" debate underscores how emotional resonance and broader industry impact can influence perception, potentially overshadowing pure racing results. Furthermore, the discussion around cross-state racing coordination points to systemic inefficiencies that, if addressed, could bolster field sizes and overall handle, thereby strengthening the sport's economic foundation.
The selection of top horses and individuals for Eclipse Awards involves a complex interplay of factors beyond simple win-loss records. In the three-year-old filly division, Good Cheer's Kentucky Oaks victory, despite a strong overall body of work from Nitrogen, was favored due to the significance of the Oaks win. This suggests that high-profile, defining victories can carry substantial weight, even if another contender demonstrated more consistent performance throughout the year. Similarly, the debate over the Older Dirt Male award, with Forever Young's single U.S. start in the Breeders' Cup Classic versus more extensive campaigns by Nicelys and Sierra Leone, illustrates how a singular, dominant performance on the sport's biggest stage can challenge traditional voting logic that prioritizes a broader season-long effort. The preference for Forever Young, influenced by a personal connection with his trainer, also hints at how subjective relationships can subtly impact even seemingly objective award processes.
The discussion on the "moment of the year" award, particularly the consideration of D. Wayne Lukas's passing, reveals a tension between celebrating racing achievements and acknowledging profound industry losses. While the passing of a legend is undeniably significant, the sentiment that such an event is a "sad moment" rather than a "celebrated moment" suggests a classification issue within the awards. This implies that the NTRA might benefit from clearer distinctions between categories that honor racing triumphs and those that acknowledge broader industry narratives or significant figures. The prevailing view that Lukas was "greater than any one moment" and deserved his own category highlights a desire to properly contextualize his legacy, separate from a singular racing event.
The business side of racing, specifically Tony's concern about declining foal crops and overlapping state racing circuits, presents a critical challenge to the sport's sustainability. The proposed solution of creating true state-based circuits, akin to New York and California, aims to consolidate horse populations and potentially increase field sizes and betting handle. However, the practical implementation faces hurdles, including inter-state competition and the logistical viability for smaller stables and tracks. Dale Romans's suggestion to focus on improved coordination between racing secretaries to synchronize condition books, rather than a complete shutdown of racing, offers a more nuanced approach to managing horse flow and race scheduling. This highlights that even within states, strategic scheduling and cooperation among racing offices could mitigate some competitive pressures and improve race quality.
Ultimately, the deliberations surrounding the Eclipse Awards and the business of racing reveal that success in the sport is a multifaceted construct. It is defined not only by the tangible results of races but also by the narratives that emerge, the consistency of performance, the impact of individual achievements, and the strategic management of the sport's infrastructure. The ongoing discussions underscore a need for clarity in award criteria and greater collaboration across racing jurisdictions to ensure the sport's continued health and appeal.
Action Items
- Audit three-year-old stakes races: Analyze 5-10 races for strategic value and Derby relevance, focusing on pedigree and distance suitability.
- Evaluate state racing circuit competition: Identify 2-3 states with overlapping race dates and analyze their condition books for collaboration opportunities.
- Track Eclipse Award voting criteria: For 3-5 categories, document the rationale behind chosen finalists and compare it to stated award objectives.
- Measure horse population impact: For 2-3 states, quantify the correlation between declining foal crops and average field sizes in stakes races.
Key Quotes
"well i'm gonna start with saying the ones i wouldn't bet on um i'm gonna start with strategic risk who was impressive in the smarty jones but he's a florida bred florida breds don't win the kentucky derby the last one to do it was um silver charm in '97 so i'm not betting on him the jerome only had four horses in it um my world was impressive balboa ran a pretty good race in defeat but that that race didn't push my needle too much i'm going with commandment in the um mucho macho man which was the only race that wasn't a points race but you know the the he won by six and three quarter lengths for uh brad cox who also trained my world trains my world and brad has been on record as saying that commandment was one of his better two year olds last year thinks the horse has a lot of upside and we'll see what happens"
Tim Wilken explains his reasoning for not selecting Strategic Risk or My World as potential Kentucky Derby contenders, citing their breeding and the limited competition in their respective races. Wilken ultimately favors Commandment, highlighting his impressive win margin and trainer Brad Cox's positive assessment of the horse's potential.
"yeah i agree with you commandment stepped up to his two year old hype he's got the pedigree he's got the looks he was beautiful in the paddock and you know it was an alley run race so pace and show up pace he thought it would and he still rolled around them like they were tied to a post so commandment impressed me"
Dale Romans concurs with Tim Wilken's assessment of Commandment, emphasizing that the horse lived up to expectations based on his pedigree and appearance. Romans notes that Commandment performed exceptionally well despite the race's pace dynamics, indicating a strong potential for future success.
"i think it's a tight one but i'll have to go with anna i think if again if they're best all of them running their healthiest she's the best filly of the three i took torpedo anna as well yep me too yeah overall body of work and competition yeah and i i think silla listen that one win was dynamite in the breeders' cup distaff but it was her only win so i think torpedo anna had a better body of work throughout the entire season"
Dale Romans and Tim Wilken both select Torpedo Anna for the older dirt filly category, despite Silla's Breeders' Cup Distaff win. They argue that Torpedo Anna demonstrated a more consistent and comprehensive body of work throughout the season, making her the preferred choice over Silla, whose success was concentrated in a single major race.
"i'll give it to nicelys i think that he had a great year good body of work total body of work we'll give that one to nicelys on the male sprinters"
Dale Romans selects Nicelys for the male sprinter Eclipse Award, citing the horse's strong overall performance and consistent body of work throughout the year. This choice contrasts with other opinions that favored different horses based on specific race wins or performances.
"i think it's flavien again i think he goes back to back i agree with that and it was it was you know it's uh by a whisker over irad i mean if you look at the the their graded earnings it's only like a thousand dollars it's 1500 separating the two and that's phenomenal for a year um flavien got the nod for me because of the 13 grade ones to nine for irad and johnny had ten i mean johnny had a great year had a great year he really did well"
Dale Romans predicts Flavien Prat will win the jockey Eclipse Award again, narrowly beating out Irad Ortiz Jr. Romans bases his prediction on Prat's higher number of Grade 1 wins, despite the close earnings between the top contenders, acknowledging Johnny Velazquez's strong performance as well.
Resources
External Resources
Books
- "The Kentucky Oaks" by [Author Not Specified] - Mentioned in relation to Good Cheer's victory.
People
- Dale Romans - Trainer, participant in discussion.
- Tim Wilken - Turf writer, participant in discussion.
- Shane - Listener from North Carolina, submitted a question.
- Tony - Owner from Northern Ohio, submitted a question.
- Nick Zito - Guest, participant in discussion.
- Flavien Prat - Jockey, mentioned for setting a single-card record and as an Eclipse Award finalist.
- D Wayne Lukas - Legendary trainer, mentioned as an Eclipse Award finalist and for his passing.
- Ted Nafi - Mentioned in relation to the Champion Two-Year-Old Male Eclipse Award.
- Johnny V (Johnny Velazquez) - Jockey, mentioned as an Eclipse Award finalist.
- Irad Ortiz Jr. - Jockey, mentioned as an Eclipse Award finalist.
- Leo O'Brien - Trainer, mentioned for his passing and as a mainstay in New York racing.
- Four Star Dave - Gelding trained by Leo O'Brien, mentioned for winning at Saratoga eight straight years.
- Elliot Wolman - Mentioned for leaving Windstar Farm and his work there.
- Jerry Duffy - Mentioned as taking over at Windstar Farm.
- Keith O'Brien - Son of Leo O'Brien, mentioned for voiceover work.
Organizations & Institutions
- HRRN (Horse Racing Radio Network) - Host of the program.
- Equine Forum - Program segment on HRRN.
- University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Sponsor.
- University of Louisville College of Business - Sponsor.
- NTRA (National Thoroughbred Racing Association) - Mentioned for releasing nominees for Moment of the Year.
- New York Racing Association (NYRA) - Mentioned in relation to a single-card record.
- Ohio Circuit - Mentioned in relation to racing business practices.
- Pennsylvania Circuit - Mentioned in relation to racing business practices.
- New York - Mentioned as a state with a racing circuit.
- California - Mentioned as a state with a racing circuit.
- Finger Lakes - Race track in New York.
- Saratoga - Race track in New York.
- Tampa - Mentioned in relation to racing.
- Kentucky - Mentioned in relation to racing.
- Churchill Downs - Race track in Kentucky.
- Indiana - Mentioned in relation to racing.
- Belterra - Race track.
- Indiana Grand - Race track.
- Windstar Farm - Mentioned in relation to Elliot Wolman.
Websites & Online Resources
- The Equine Forum - Program segment on HRRN.
- HRRN - Host of the program.
- Mike at horseracingradio.net - Email address for listener questions.
Other Resources
- Eclipse Award - Award discussed for various categories.
- Kentucky Derby - Race mentioned as a target for three-year-old horses.
- Smarty Jones - Race mentioned for Strategic Risk's victory.
- Jerome - Race mentioned for My World's victory.
- Mucho Macho Man - Race mentioned for Commandment's victory.
- Holy Bull - Race mentioned as a potential next start for Commandment.
- Breeders' Cup Classic - Race mentioned for Forever Young's victory.
- Distaff - Race mentioned in relation to Nitrogen.
- Alabama Stakes - Race mentioned for Nitrogen's victory.
- Pacific Classic - Race mentioned for Fierceness's victory.
- Breeders' Cup Sprint - Race mentioned for Bentornado's victory.
- Mojo Racing Impossible Trivia Question - Trivia question segment.