Political Influence and Consolidation Reshape Media Ownership
TL;DR
- A hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery by Paramount Skydance, backed by Trump-supporting entities, could consolidate media ownership under a single politically aligned group, impacting consumer media diets and political discourse.
- The potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by Netflix or Paramount Skydance highlights a trend of media industry consolidation driven by the need for scale to compete, potentially reducing consumer choice.
- President Trump's involvement in the Warner Bros. Discovery merger talks, leveraging his influence over regulatory bodies, demonstrates a transactional approach to media ownership and content control, bypassing traditional legal avenues.
- The complex bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery, involving entities like Netflix and Paramount Skydance with varying financial backing and political ties, illustrates a high-stakes battle where non-economic bidders may prevail due to personal desire for ownership.
- Allegations of promises to make CNN "nicer" to Donald Trump by potential buyers reveal a concerning intersection of political influence and media ownership, suggesting a willingness to alter journalistic operations for political favor.
- The debate over defining the "industry" for merger regulation purposes, particularly concerning streaming video services, creates ambiguity for regulators trying to assess competition and potential monopolistic impacts.
- Australia's ban on social media for individuals under 16, with potential fines for non-compliance, sets a precedent for regulating youth access to digital platforms, prompting consideration for similar measures in the U.S.
Deep Dive
The media industry is undergoing a tumultuous period of consolidation, driven by a desire for scale and the influence of wealthy individuals with political ambitions. This convergence of media assets, particularly involving Warner Bros. Discovery, presents significant implications for consumer choice, competition, and the intersection of media power with political influence. The outcome of these high-stakes negotiations could reshape the media landscape, potentially concentrating ownership in fewer hands and introducing political considerations into content decisions.
The current consolidation efforts are largely being driven by the need for media companies to achieve sufficient scale to compete in the streaming era, a challenge particularly acute for smaller entities like Paramount. David Ellison, through his company Skydance, is attempting to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, aiming to create a larger entity capable of challenging giants like Netflix. This pursuit is not purely economic; it involves the deep pockets of Ellison's father, Larry Ellison, and a strategic alignment with political figures. Larry Ellison's substantial donations to Republican causes and his involvement in past high-profile acquisitions suggest a pattern of leveraging influence. His son, David, has reportedly sought and received assurances from former President Donald Trump regarding regulatory approval and potential content direction, particularly concerning CNN.
The involvement of Donald Trump in these merger discussions is a significant departure from typical regulatory processes. Trump has openly expressed a desire to influence media coverage, viewing it as a mandate to ensure favorable reporting. While direct intervention in business deals is constitutionally questionable, the government possesses significant power to delay or obstruct mergers through regulatory scrutiny. The Ellisons' approach, which appears to include leveraging their political connections and financial support for Trump, highlights a transactional dynamic in media acquisitions. This strategy has led to a bidding war, with Netflix initially agreeing to acquire most of Warner Bros. Discovery, only to be challenged by Skydance's more aggressive, all-encompassing bid. This bid is reportedly backed by investment funds connected to Jared Kushner and sovereign wealth funds from the Middle East, further complicating the geopolitical and financial dimensions of the deal.
The implications for consumers are substantial. The ongoing consolidation points toward a reduction in the number of independent media services, potentially limiting consumer choice and increasing subscription costs as fewer, larger entities control a greater share of content. The industry's definition itself is fluid, making it difficult for regulators to assess anticompetitive effects. Furthermore, the potential for political influence over news organizations like CNN raises concerns about the integrity of information and the separation of media from political agendas. The involvement of figures like Trump and the reported assurances given regarding CNN's coverage suggest that political considerations may override purely commercial or journalistic imperatives.
Ultimately, the outcome of these merger talks will likely hinge on financial offers and the complex interplay of political influence. The current environment suggests a trend towards fewer, larger media conglomerates, with the added dimension of political alignment shaping acquisition strategies and potential content direction. This consolidation, coupled with political leverage, poses a significant risk to a diverse and independent media ecosystem.
Action Items
- Audit media mergers: Analyze 3-5 recent media acquisitions for consolidation impact on consumer choice and political influence.
- Draft social media policy: Propose guidelines for under-16 user access, referencing Australian regulations and US legislative proposals.
- Evaluate campaign finance: Track 2-3 key arguments from the Supreme Court case on campaign finance limits and their constitutional implications.
- Measure media bias: Develop a framework to assess bias in 3-5 news organizations based on coverage of political figures and events.
Key Quotes
"But it’s really worth digging into the details to understand how all of this could reshape our media diets -- and our politics."
This quote from the podcast introduction highlights the broader implications of the media mergers being discussed. Host Jane Coaston suggests that the complex financial dealings are not just about corporate ownership but also about how these changes will affect what consumers watch and how political discourse might be influenced.
"And so right now what is happening is he is trying to take this small paramount and buy the larger warner with it that's the home of like you know everything from like north by northwest to harry potter and build a giant mega streaming service to compete with say netflix."
Ben Smith, co-founder and editor-in-chief of Semafor, explains the strategic rationale behind Paramount's potential acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery. Smith argues that for smaller media companies like Paramount, the only path to survival against giants like Netflix is to achieve greater scale by acquiring larger entities and consolidating assets into a more competitive streaming service.
"But mergers are one of the many places that the government can really screw up your business without winning a court case they can sue you they can tie you up for years while your competitors race ahead of you and so currying favor with the government even in normal times is very important in big mergers and acquisitions."
Ben Smith points out the significant role government regulation can play in large business deals, even outside of direct legal challenges. Smith explains that the threat of regulatory intervention, such as lawsuits or prolonged reviews, makes it crucial for companies involved in major mergers and acquisitions to maintain favorable relationships with government entities.
"And the other question is yes it's an effort by the president of the united states to seize control of a couple of pretty troubled less relevant than they used to be but iconic news organizations and where do you think this is all going to go next like what happens now."
Jane Coaston raises concerns about the potential for political interference in media ownership, specifically referencing President Trump's alleged involvement in the Warner Brothers Discovery situation. Coaston questions the motivations behind such involvement and its implications for the future of news organizations, suggesting a desire for political control over media narratives.
"The wall street view is that it's probably a bad idea to bet against the money whoever bids higher will probably get the thing and netflix is ultimately a public company trying to build a great business and the ellisons are ultimately a family who really really really want to own this thing and are among the richest people in the world and so often i do think like the non economic bidder is going to win."
Ben Smith discusses the potential outcomes of the bidding war for Warner Brothers Discovery, contrasting the financial motivations of public companies with the personal desires of wealthy families. Smith suggests that while Wall Street might favor the highest financial bid, the strong personal drive of a bidder like the Ellison family, who may prioritize ownership over pure economic return, could ultimately determine the winner.
Resources
External Resources
Books
- "The Billionaire Boys Club" by Ben Smith - Mentioned as the subject of discussion regarding media mergers and acquisitions.
Articles & Papers
- "Op-ed criticizing her university's response to Israel and the war in Gaza" (Student newspaper) - Co-authored by Rumeysa Ozturk, leading to her detention.
People
- Donald Trump - Mentioned in relation to campaign finance limits, media ownership, and economic policy.
- David Ellison - Mentioned as CEO of Skydance and a potential buyer of Warner Bros. Discovery.
- Larry Ellison - Mentioned as founder and chairman of Oracle Corporation and father of David Ellison.
- Ted Sarandos - Mentioned as co-CEO of Netflix.
- Jared Kushner - Mentioned as Trump's son-in-law whose investment fund is involved in a bid.
- David Zaslav - Mentioned as CEO of Warner Bros. Discovery.
- Ben Smith - Mentioned as co-founder and editor-in-chief of Semafor and host of the Mixed Signals podcast.
- Jane Coaston - Mentioned as the host of the podcast "What A Day."
- Brandon Carr - Mentioned as Trump's FCC chairman.
- Sonia Sotomayor - Mentioned as a liberal justice on the Supreme Court.
- Rumeysa Ozturk - Mentioned as a PhD student detained by the Trump administration.
- Rahm Emanuel - Mentioned as former Democratic mayor of Chicago who encouraged emulating Australia's social media ban on children.
- Lindsey Graham - Mentioned as a South Carolina Republican senator discussing social media legislation.
Organizations & Institutions
- Warner Bros. Discovery - Mentioned as a company involved in merger talks.
- Netflix - Mentioned as a potential buyer of Warner Bros. Discovery.
- Paramount Skydance - Mentioned as a bidder for Warner Bros. Discovery.
- Oracle Corporation - Mentioned as the company founded by Larry Ellison.
- CBS - Mentioned as a property owned by Paramount.
- CNN - Mentioned as a property owned by Warner Bros. Discovery.
- HBO - Mentioned as a property owned by Warner Bros. Discovery.
- DC Studios - Mentioned as a property owned by Warner Bros. Discovery.
- TNT Sports - Mentioned as a property owned by Warner Bros. Discovery.
- TikTok - Mentioned in relation to a bid by Larry Ellison and a social media ban for minors.
- U.S. Supreme Court - Mentioned as hearing arguments on campaign finance limits.
- FTC (Federal Trade Commission) - Mentioned in the context of government regulation of mergers.
- FCC (Federal Communications Commission) - Mentioned in the context of government regulation of mergers.
- Department of Justice - Mentioned in the context of government regulation of mergers.
- NBC - Mentioned as a parent company that has restructured its cable channels.
- MSNBC - Mentioned as a parent company that has restructured its cable channels.
- Tufts University - Mentioned as the university where Rumeysa Ozturk is a PhD student.
- Australia - Mentioned as a country banning social media for minors.
- Greenlight Infinity - Mentioned as a service providing driving reports for teen drivers.
- Crooked Media - Mentioned as the production company for the podcast.
Websites & Online Resources
- Semafor - Mentioned as the news site where Ben Smith is co-founder and editor-in-chief.
- Mixed Signals podcast - Mentioned as hosted by Ben Smith.
- What A Day - Mentioned as the podcast where the discussion is taking place.
- Greenlight.com - Mentioned as the website to sign up for Greenlight Infinity.
- Crooked.com/store - Mentioned as the website to purchase gifts.
- Crooked.com/subscribe - Mentioned as the website for the nightly newsletter.
- Bombas.com - Mentioned as the website for purchasing socks and slippers.
- Harryanddavid.com - Mentioned as the website for purchasing pears and holiday gifts.
- DSW.com - Mentioned as a website for shoe shopping.
Podcasts & Audio
- Mixed Signals podcast - Mentioned as hosted by Ben Smith.
- What A Day - Mentioned as the podcast where the discussion is taking place.
Other Resources
- Social media ban for children - Mentioned as a policy implemented in Australia and considered for the US.
- Tariffs - Mentioned as a policy of Donald Trump.
- Campaign finance limits - Mentioned as a topic of Supreme Court arguments.
- Mergers and acquisitions - Mentioned as a central theme of the discussion.
- Affordability crisis - Mentioned as a topic of Donald Trump's economic message.
- Financial literacy - Mentioned as a difficult life skill for parents to teach.