All Episodes
AI Inflection Bubble Risks Speculative Overbuild and Societal Disruption
AI's speculative boom accelerates progress but risks investor losses and job displacement, mirroring past bubbles with amplified debt-fueled uncertainty.
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Good Times Foster Complacency, Exposing Malinvestment and Fraud
Complacency in good times lowers lending standards, creating fertile ground for malinvestment and fraud that downturns inevitably expose. Superior credit analysis requires detecting defects early.
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Pension Fund Risk Management Prioritizes Benefit Payment Over Volatility
Pension funds should prioritize paying benefits over beating peers, assessing performance over full market cycles to distinguish skill from luck and avoid misleading volatility metrics.
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Howard Marks's Investing Philosophy: Risk, Psychology, and Second-Level Thinking
Master market extremes by understanding investor psychology. Control downside risk, embrace intellectual humility, and think beyond conventional wisdom to achieve superior investment performance.
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