Coalition-Driven Fossil Fuel Phase-Out Bypasses UN Consensus
TL;DR
- Frustration with the UN climate conference's consensus-based approach, where powerful fossil fuel producers can block progress, has led to a coalition of "high ambition" countries forming their own initiatives.
- The Santa Marta Conference, planned for April 2026, aims to be the first global meeting dedicated to phasing out fossil fuels, addressing equitable transition strategies and job creation.
- A legally binding Fossil Fuel Treaty is being pursued, with the Santa Marta Conference potentially initiating the treaty-writing process to commit countries to a fossil fuel phase-out.
- The Paris Agreement's lack of specific steps for fossil fuel phase-out, coupled with current pledges being insufficient to meet the 1.5°C warming limit, necessitates new action frameworks.
- The emergence of initiatives like the Santa Marta Conference and the Fossil Fuel Treaty signals an inflection point, moving beyond broad agreements to concrete, coalition-driven action.
Deep Dive
Countries frustrated by the slow pace of U.N. climate conferences are forging a new path to address the primary driver of global warming: fossil fuels. While previous U.N. agreements have struggled to explicitly condemn fossil fuels due to consensus rules, a coalition of "high ambition" countries is establishing a dedicated conference to accelerate a just transition away from these energy sources. This initiative, culminating in a potential legally binding treaty, signals a shift toward smaller, more agile groups driving tangible climate action when broader international consensus falters.
The U.N. climate conferences, or COPs, have historically been hampered by the requirement for all nearly 200 participating nations to agree on final texts. This consensus model consistently allows fossil fuel-producing nations, such as Saudi Arabia, to block language demanding a transition away from coal, oil, and gas, despite overwhelming scientific consensus that these are the main drivers of climate change. For example, it took 28 years for fossil fuels to be mentioned in a COP agreement, and even then, specific roadmaps for their phase-out were absent, leaving countries like the UK and Mexico dissatisfied. This stagnation has led to frustration, with many nations arguing that current policies are insufficient to meet the 1.5-degree Celsius warming limit, with projected emissions cuts falling far short of the required 12% by 2035.
In response, a group of approximately 20 countries, including Colombia and the Netherlands, are organizing the first International Conference on the Just Transition Away from Fossil Fuels, dubbed the Santa Marta Conference, set for April 2026 in Colombia. This initiative aims to create a dedicated space for countries committed to phasing out fossil fuels, bypassing the broader U.N. consensus challenges. Key discussions will focus on practical, equitable measures, such as redirecting global subsidies from fossil fuels toward renewable energy and establishing new job opportunities for workers in the fossil fuel industry. Furthermore, the Santa Marta Conference is intended to be a catalyst for a legally binding fossil fuel treaty, an initiative already supported by 18 countries and various cities, which seeks to create a concrete framework for a just transition away from fossil fuels. This approach represents an inflection point, with smaller coalitions of willing nations driving progress when global consensus is obstructed.
Action Items
- Create Santa Marta Conference action plan: Define 3-5 key discussion topics for the first global conference on phasing out fossil fuels, focusing on equitable transition strategies.
- Draft Fossil Fuel Treaty framework: Outline 5-7 core principles for a legally binding treaty to commit countries to a just transition away from fossil fuels.
- Audit national fossil fuel subsidies: Identify and quantify subsidies for oil, gas, and coal industries across 3-5 key producing countries to inform redirection strategies.
- Measure emission reduction correlation: For 3-5 countries, calculate the correlation between current policies and the 12% emission reduction target by 2035.
- Develop equitable job transition program: Design a pilot program for 1-2 regions to retrain 50-100 fossil fuel industry workers for renewable energy sector roles.
Key Quotes
"Well I would say eventful is that a good word to describe it the conference took place in these big plastic tents and the day before the conference was supposed to end I was on the phone with my editor in the US sadie babbitt and then people started running through the tent saying there's a fire okay there's really a fire jesus effing christ sadie oh no I know I got to move on sadie's telling me to get out of here what happened it seems to have been an electrical issue something caught fire there was a huge blaze enveloping part of the tent at least a dozen people were treated for smoke inhalation tens of thousands of us were evacuated but when I ran out of the tent the first thing I did was find this guy named andres gomez because Emily today's podcast it's not about the fire it's about what was supposed to happen just 15 minutes after the fire broke out"
Julia Simon describes the chaotic scene at COP 30, highlighting how a fire disrupted a significant announcement. Simon emphasizes that the podcast's focus remains on the planned announcement, not the fire itself, indicating the importance of the event that was nearly overshadowed.
"Well quick refresher of course about 70 of the greenhouse gas emissions heating our planet Emily they come from burning fossil fuels facts burning coal oil and natural gas is the single biggest driver of global warming exactly and for the past 30 years countries have been coming to these un climate conferences to discuss how to tackle global warming but many countries say these conferences they're called cops do not have nearly enough emphasis on the need to transition away from fossil fuels again which is the main driver of climate change"
Julia Simon explains the fundamental cause of global warming, identifying the burning of fossil fuels as the primary driver. Simon points out the long-standing frustration among many nations that UN climate conferences, or COPs, have not sufficiently prioritized transitioning away from these emissions.
"I spoke to one carlos manterrey he's special representative for climate change of panama about this topic every time that we come to these cops we try to red debate science we try to avoid talking about fossil fuels it's really really stupid it's like trying to deal with a patient that has covid but not treating the patient for covid yeah Emily it took 28 years for the cop agreement to even mention transitioning away from fossil fuels"
Julia Simon relays Carlos Manterrey's frustration with the COP process, quoting him on the avoidance of discussing fossil fuels. Manterrey likens this avoidance to not treating a COVID patient for COVID, illustrating the perceived ineffectiveness of the conferences. Simon notes the significant delay in even mentioning fossil fuel transition in COP agreements.
"And so like we said many countries are deeply frustrated with this un process it's a process by consensus Emily so every country has to agree to the text of this agreement and you have close to 200 countries in the process and while Norway and Mexico are oil producers and they want a roadmap off of fossil fuels some other big oil producers like Saudi Arabia they do not so you have some countries pretty consistently blocking text that mentions fossil fuels"
Julia Simon explains the challenge of reaching consensus at UN climate conferences. Simon highlights that the requirement for all nearly 200 countries to agree on texts leads to blocking by some major oil-producing nations, preventing progress on fossil fuel phase-out language, even when other oil producers support it.
"Countries like Mexico for instance Andres was showing me on his phone a list of about 20 countries that planned to announce something called the first international conference on the just transition away from fossil fuels or the Santa Marta conference for short what is the Santa Marta conference well like we said before some of those countries that really want this roadmap away from fossil fuels they're again frustrated with those consensus rules of cop everybody has to agree these countries want to take action urgently and just like if you're doing a group project Emily and there's some people who are really into it and then some people who are not so much these countries some call them the high ambition countries they're like we want our own space we want our own conference to really tackle the phase out of fossil fuels asap"
Julia Simon introduces the Santa Marta conference as an initiative by a group of "high ambition countries" frustrated with the consensus-based COP process. Simon explains that these countries, wanting urgent action on fossil fuel phase-out, are creating their own conference to bypass the roadblocks encountered at the larger UN meetings.
"The idea of the Santa Marta conference is to have this first space in which we are completely clear that the phasing out is necessary because it's not easy no one is saying that it is easy but if we don't face the problems we cannot build the solutions"
Julia Simon conveys the core purpose of the Santa Marta conference, as stated by Irene Vélez Torres, Colombia's Environment Minister. Simon emphasizes that the conference aims to openly acknowledge the necessity of phasing out fossil fuels, recognizing that facing this challenge is crucial for developing effective solutions.
Resources
External Resources
Articles & Papers
- "A Very, Very Big Deal." Countries Take On Fossil Fuels (Short Wave, NPR) - Mentioned as the title of the podcast episode discussed.
- NPR Privacy Policy - Referenced as a link provided in the episode description.
- podcastchoices.com/adchoices - Referenced as a link provided in the episode description.
People
- Julia Simon - NPR climate desk reporter, guest on the podcast discussing climate change and fossil fuels.
- Emily Kwong - Host of Short Wave, interviewing Julia Simon.
- Sadie Babbitt - Emily's editor at NPR.
- Andres Gomez - Colombian representative working with a group of countries on a just transition away from fossil fuels.
- Carlos Manterrey - Special Representative for Climate Change of Panama, quoted on the frustration with UN climate conferences.
- Irene Velez Torres - Colombia's Environment Minister, announcing the first international conference on just transition away from fossil fuels.
- Nicki Reisch - Climate and Energy Director at the Center for International Environmental Law, advising on the fossil fuel treaty initiative.
- Sophie Hermans - Minister of Climate Policy and Green Growth of the Netherlands, co-hosting the Santa Marta conference.
- Jessie Diggins - US Olympic cross country skiing athlete and Saatva brand ambassador, discussing the importance of sleep.
- Charlotte Law - Spokesperson for the American Petroleum Institute (API).
Organizations & Institutions
- NPR - The public radio network producing the podcast "Short Wave."
- United Nations (UN) - Organization hosting climate change conferences (COPs).
- Colombian government - Partnering with the Netherlands to organize the Santa Marta conference.
- Netherlands government - Partnering with Colombia to organize the Santa Marta conference.
- Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) - Organization providing advice on the fossil fuel treaty.
- American Petroleum Institute (API) - US oil and gas trade association.
- US Olympic and Paralympic Teams - Mentioned in relation to Saatva.
Websites & Online Resources
- plus.npr.org/shortwave - Website for supporting Short Wave and listening sponsor-free.
- linkedin.com/nprpod - Website for LinkedIn Ads, offering a credit for campaigns.
- vanta.com - Website for Vanta, a trust management platform for security and compliance.
- saatva.com/npr - Website for Saatva, offering a discount on mattresses.
Podcasts & Audio
- Short Wave (NPR) - The podcast series featuring the episode discussed.
Other Resources
- COP 30 - The UN climate change conference held in Belém, Brazil.
- Fossil Fuels - The primary driver of global warming, discussed extensively.
- Paris Agreement - International treaty on climate change aimed at limiting global warming.
- First International Conference on the Just Transition Away from Fossil Fuels (Santa Marta Conference) - A planned conference to discuss phasing out fossil fuels.
- Fossil Fuel Treaty - An initiative for a legally binding treaty to phase out fossil fuels.
- 1.5 degree limit - The target for limiting global warming as set by the Paris Agreement.
- Subsidies for oil, gas, and coal industries - Discussed as a topic for redirection in the Santa Marta conference.
- Renewable energy and batteries - Mentioned as areas for investment during a transition away from fossil fuels.
- Just transition - The concept of ensuring a fair and equitable transition away from fossil fuels for workers and communities.
- Warby Parker - Mentioned as a sponsor offering prescription eyewear.
- Edward Jones - Mentioned as a sponsor providing financial advisory services.
- LinkedIn Ads - Mentioned as a sponsor for B2B marketing.
- Vanta - Mentioned as a sponsor providing a trust management platform.
- Saatva - Mentioned as a sponsor providing mattresses and restorative sleep.