Raiders Need Stable Coach for Multi-Year Rebuild Amidst Division Challenges
TL;DR
- The Raiders' consistent underperformance, marked by a 10+ game losing streak in back-to-back seasons, necessitates a coaching change to inject energy and competitiveness, which Pete Carroll failed to provide.
- Despite possessing cornerstone pieces like Max Crosby and a significant cap space, the Raiders' attractiveness as a head coaching destination is diminished by owner Mark Davis and the challenging AFC West division.
- The Raiders' recent draft classes have yielded poor returns, with many Day 2 picks failing to develop or receive adequate playing time, indicating a systemic issue in player development beyond just roster talent.
- The Raiders' need for stability is critical, having cycled through six head coaches since 2021, underscoring the importance of selecting a coach committed to a multi-year rebuild rather than short-term fixes.
- Given the limited pool of desirable offensive-minded head coaching candidates this cycle, the Raiders are likely to prioritize a defensive-minded coach, such as Brian Flores or Jesse Minter, to bring an edge and defensive scheme.
- The Raiders' current situation demands a coach who can foster player development, as evidenced by the underperformance of recent draft picks, making a strong coaching staff essential for long-term success.
Deep Dive
The Las Vegas Raiders have fired head coach Pete Carroll after a single season, a move precipitated by the team's dismal performance and their acquisition of the number one overall draft pick. This decision signals a critical juncture for the franchise, which must now navigate a complex rebuilding process with significant financial resources and draft capital, but also faces the daunting challenge of competing within a highly competitive AFC West division. The immediate implication is the need for a stable, long-term coaching solution capable of developing talent and instilling a competitive identity, a challenge complicated by the team's history of coaching turnover and the owner's decision-making.
The Raiders' recent trajectory has been marked by a lack of sustained competitiveness, particularly evident in their late-season struggles under Carroll, where the team "had no juice" and appeared listless. This performance led to them becoming the second team in 40 years to experience a double-digit losing streak in consecutive seasons, underscoring the depth of their issues. Despite possessing some foundational pieces like Max Crosby, Kolton Miller, Brock Bowers, and AJ Brown, the roster outside of these cornerstones lacks significant impact players, especially at receiver and in the linebacker and secondary units. Furthermore, recent draft classes have yielded disappointing returns, with many high picks failing to make a significant impact in their rookie seasons, suggesting systemic development issues beyond just player talent. This lack of development, coupled with a constant need for new talent, indicates that the Raiders are likely facing a multi-year rebuild.
The franchise's instability is further exemplified by their rapid succession of head coaches, with six, including interims, since 2021. This pattern highlights a fundamental need for stability from the top down, which the potential involvement of Tom Brady in the head coaching search aims to address. However, the AFC West presents a formidable obstacle, featuring established playoff contenders like the Kansas City Chiefs, and potentially the Los Angeles Chargers under Jim Harbaugh, and the Denver Broncos with Sean Payton. This competitive landscape means that even a successful rebuild could still leave the Raiders on the outside of the playoffs for an extended period. Consequently, the next coaching hire must prioritize player development and assemble a strong staff capable of nurturing the team's draft capital, as the organization cannot afford further wasted investments.
Given the scarcity of highly sought-after offensive minds available this cycle, the Raiders are likely to target a defensive-minded head coach. Prominent candidates discussed include Brian Flores, whose defensive acumen and Patriots connections make him an attractive, albeit potentially complicated, option due to his ongoing lawsuit. Jesse Minter is also considered, contingent on his situation with the Ravens, offering a strong defensive foundation that could benefit players like Max Crosby. Vance Joseph is another defensive-minded possibility. While an offensive coordinator is ideally paired with a rookie quarterback, the current pool of candidates for such a role is limited, making a defensive-first approach a pragmatic necessity for the Raiders as they seek to inject much-needed edge and competitiveness into the organization.
Action Items
- Audit draft process: Analyze 5 recent draft classes for player development outcomes and identify coaching staff gaps.
- Implement player development framework: Define 3-5 key metrics for tracking rookie and second-year player progression.
- Create coaching staff evaluation rubric: Establish criteria for assessing offensive and defensive coordinator effectiveness in player development.
- Measure division competitiveness: Track win-loss records and playoff appearances for AFC West teams over the next 5 years.
Key Quotes
"obviously when you get the number one overall pick things tend to have gone south and boy did they ever this team looked hapless down the stretch there they took you know a while to beat the christalacoon uh shane bushel led kansas city chiefs in week 18 it was just ugly from i can't say start to finish because they beat the patriots week one they had a very different feel after week one than they do now but i think for the last gosh eight to 10 weeks of the season the writing was on the wall here for pete carroll this team had no juice and for a pete carroll team that's supposed to play with a lot of energy a lot of competition they're at least supposed to be what was promised for the raiders was that they would be competitive last year under antonio pierce they just weren't competitive and pete carroll was supposed to bring a level of competition bring some fire back to this team and it just looked like they didn't have any juice after that last couple over uh the rest of the season after the first two weeks it felt like the offense just had nothing going for it the defense had maybe a couple bright spots but there was just no juice no energy on this team and it's sort of unbecoming of a pete carroll led unit"
JP Acosta explains that the Raiders' struggles under Pete Carroll were evident for much of the season, culminating in a dismal performance despite having the number one overall pick. Acosta highlights that the team lacked energy and competitiveness, which is uncharacteristic of a Pete Carroll-coached team.
"i think them holding the number one overall pick them having over 100 million in cap space if you just did not have mark davis as your owner right if you just had this roster where they have some cornerstone pieces you have brock bowers you got aj genty you have max crosby i think kolton miller is a cornerstone esque left tackle as well even though he's 30 we've seen tackles career ages you probably got three or four more useful years even though he did get hurt this year you got some pieces there in place you got a lot of money to work with you got a lot of draft picks now to work with i don't think this is the worst head coaching option out there i think it could be a very attractive one but you kind of just got to sell me that brady is calling more shots here than mark davis and that it's really going to be a new era of decision making from the top down there in las vegas"
JP Acosta suggests that despite the team's poor performance, the Raiders possess attractive assets such as significant cap space, cornerstone players like Max Crosby and Kolton Miller, and numerous draft picks. Acosta believes these factors could make the head coaching position appealing, provided that Tom Brady has substantial influence over decision-making rather than owner Mark Davis.
"like they just need somebody who will at least stay for more than a year and part of that is due to mark davis not picking the right guys but it is important for this raiders franchise to actually find a guy that they are willing to put more than one year into so i'm i'm curious i don't know if this is this would be near the top of my head coach opening rankings mainly because you have to go through the afc west you got to go through jim harbaugh justin herbert andy reid and patrick mahomes bo nix and sean payton you got to go through three legit playoff teams including the chiefs when they're healthy and the raiders are still pretty far behind"
JP Acosta points out the Raiders' history of coaching instability, having had six head coaches since 2021, which he attributes partly to owner Mark Davis's hiring decisions. Acosta emphasizes the franchise's need for a coach who will be given a multi-year commitment. He also expresses reservations about the Raiders' ranking among head coaching openings due to the competitive AFC West division.
"so like you said this could be a while and it could be even more than that even if you do turn your good even if everything works out great you probably have three of the most stable rosters and head coaches in your division of any division in the nfl it is probably the most difficult situation in terms of just one team trying to overcome to a division title maybe outside of the nfc north like there's not an nfc west like this is a about as tough a division or will be for the next five to 10 years as will exist in the nfl so because of that everything could go great and you could still be consistently on the outside looking in at the playoffs"
JP Acosta discusses the challenging divisional landscape the Raiders face, noting that the AFC West is likely one of the toughest divisions in the NFL for the foreseeable future. Acosta explains that even with successful team development, the Raiders may consistently find themselves on the outside of playoff contention due to the strength of their division rivals.
"so this next head coach this next gm this next head coach they bring in has to emphasize player development they have to hire a good staff to help get these guys along because you invested capital in these guys they're not day three swings these are day two round two round three picks you got to have these guys work out to fill out your roster it's a great segment we're going to look at some of the names we think could be the next head coach who we'd like to see right after a quick break"
JP Acosta stresses the critical need for the Raiders' next head coach and general manager to prioritize player development. Acosta argues that significant draft capital has been invested in day two picks, and these players must succeed to build out the roster effectively. He suggests that hiring a strong coaching staff is essential to facilitate this development.
"i think flores might be their number one guy i would also maybe consider jesse minter i think if he wants to leave and depending on whatever happens with the ravens because if the ravens end up firing john harbaugh i think they're going to go after jesse minter hard and if you throw a bunch of money at jesse minter to come be the head coach of the ravens he probably will take that job but minter also has done a really good job with what has been a rebuilding chargers team like we forget because they've been to the playoffs for what is now the third straight year or second straight year under jim harbaugh this team was not good before harbaugh came in they completely gutted the roster and this team has been constantly this defense has constantly punched above their weight class"
JP Acosta speculates that Brian Flores may be the Raiders' top candidate for head coach, while also considering Jesse Minter as a strong possibility. Acosta notes that Minter's success with the Chargers' defense, despite roster changes, demonstrates his ability to elevate a team. He also acknowledges that Minter might be pursued by the Ravens if John Harbaugh departs.
Resources
External Resources
Books
- "The Patriot Way" - Mentioned in relation to a coaching philosophy.
Articles & Papers
- "The Patriot Way" (Source not specified) - Mentioned as a coaching philosophy.
People
- Pete Carroll - Former head coach of the Raiders.
- Kendrick Lamar - Mentioned as an example of an artist for concert presales.
- Sabrina Carpenter - Mentioned as an example of an artist for concert presales.
- Daryl Izett - Attorney, referred to as "The Hammer."
- Fernando Mendoza - Mentioned as a potential quarterback prospect from Indiana.
- Jalen Carter - Mentioned in relation to a past number one overall pick.
- Tom Brady - Mentioned as potentially leading the head coach search process and as a commentator for Fox.
- Diana Russini - Mentioned as a source for information on Tom Brady's involvement.
- Jim Harbaugh - Mentioned as a coach in the AFC West division.
- Justin Herbert - Mentioned as a player in the AFC West division.
- Andy Reid - Mentioned as a coach in the AFC West division.
- Patrick Mahomes - Mentioned as a player in the AFC West division.
- Bo Nix - Mentioned as a player in the AFC West division.
- Sean Payton - Mentioned as a coach in the AFC West division.
- Brock Bowers - Mentioned as a cornerstone piece for the Raiders.
- AJ Genty - Mentioned as a cornerstone piece for the Raiders.
- Max Crosby - Mentioned as a cornerstone piece for the Raiders.
- Kolton Miller - Mentioned as a cornerstone-esque left tackle for the Raiders.
- Jackson Powers-Johnson - Mentioned in relation to offensive line development.
- Mark Davis - Mentioned as the owner of the Raiders.
- Brian Flores - Mentioned as a potential head coach candidate.
- Bill Belichick - Mentioned as a coach whose "acolyte" Brian Flores is.
- Mike Vrabel - Mentioned as a successful "Bill Belichick like acolyte."
- Jesse Minter - Mentioned as a potential head coach candidate.
- John Harbaugh - Mentioned as potentially being fired by the Ravens.
- Vance Joseph - Mentioned as a potential head coach candidate.
- Geno Smith - Mentioned as a player currently on the Raiders' roster.
- Clint Kubiak - Mentioned as a potential offensive mind for a head coach.
- Joe Brady - Mentioned as a potential head coach candidate.
- Todd Monken - Mentioned as a potential offensive coordinator.
- Robert Saleh - Mentioned as a potential head coach candidate.
- Zach Wilson - Mentioned in relation to the Jets era.
- Aaron Rodgers - Mentioned in relation to the Jets era.
- Kevin Stefanski - Mentioned as a coach with a job.
- Mike McDaniel - Mentioned as a potential offensive coordinator and as not being confirmed back for the Dolphins.
- Aaron Glenn - Mentioned in relation to defensive talent.
- Tyrie Wilson - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Michael Mayer - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Byron Young - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Trey Tucker - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Jacobie Meyers - Mentioned as being off the Raiders' roster.
- Dante Thornton - Mentioned in relation to his role on the team.
- Caleb Rogers - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Charles Grant - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Garyon Porter - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
- Jack Bash - Mentioned in relation to draft class returns.
Organizations
- Cash App - Financial service platform.
- Sutton Bank - Bank partner for Cash App.
- FDIC - Mentioned in relation to banking services.
- Block Inc. - Brand associated with Cash App.
- NFL (National Football League) - Professional American football league.
- Raiders - Professional football team.
- Kansas City Chiefs - Professional football team.
- New England Patriots - Professional football team.
- Indiana - Mentioned as the origin of Fernando Mendoza.
- Fox - Mentioned as a commentator for Tom Brady.
- Minnesota - Mentioned in relation to Brian Flores's past staff.
- Ravens - Professional football team.
- Chargers - Professional football team.
- San Francisco 49ers - Mentioned in relation to Robert Saleh's past work.
- Jets - Professional football team.
- Dolphins - Professional football team.
- Bears - Professional football team.
Tools & Software
- Cash App Card - Used for payments and unlocking perks.
Websites & Online Resources
- we win com - Website for legal assistance.
- cashapp.com/legal - Website for Cash App disclosures.
Other Resources
- Black Monday - Term used for a day of coaching firings in the NFL.
- AFC West - Division in the NFL.
- NFC North - Division in the NFL.
- Pioneer Press - Mentioned in relation to the Raiders' draft classes.
- Patriot Way - Mentioned as a coaching philosophy.