Shifting From Bottom-of-Funnel Metrics to Long-Term Market Expansion
The Efficiency Paradox: Why Scaling Requires Unlearning Conventional Wisdom
In this conversation, Ricardo Pouwels of Tier 11 explains how a premium DTC pet brand doubled monthly revenue from $2.5M to $4M while keeping ad spend flat. Most brands struggle not because of a lack of demand, but because they are addicted to bottom-of-funnel metrics that prioritize capturing existing interest over creating new growth. By moving budget away from high-cost, low-intent brand search campaigns and into top-of-funnel awareness, the brand stopped paying for customers they were already winning. This analysis helps CMOs and growth leaders identify if their attribution models are masking inefficiencies and provides a guide for trading immediate, comfortable metrics for long-term market expansion.
The Hidden Cost of Fast Solutions
Conventional wisdom says that as you scale, efficiency must drop: your cost per acquisition (CPA) rises and margins shrink. Pouwels’ analysis of this DTC brand disproves this by identifying a systemic inefficiency: the brand was over-investing in Amazon and Google brand search campaigns.
The immediate benefit of these campaigns is visible and trackable. However, the downstream effect is that the brand paid a premium to claim credit for customers who were already searching for the brand name, often because they had been primed by other channels.
"I realized that 80% or more conversions came from branded terms... the brand campaigns just made it look like a great channel. So that was the first thing I wanted to test--take away a big portion of their budget and move that over to Meta."
-- Ricardo Pouwels
When the team cut Amazon ad spend by 91%, sales did not collapse. Instead, units sold increased by 63%. The system routed demand through organic search, proving that the previous spend was largely redundant.
The 90-Day Payoff Nobody Wants to Wait For
Systems thinking requires an understanding of time lags. When the team introduced top-of-funnel Landing Page View (LPV) campaigns on Meta, the immediate results were discouraging. Standard conversion campaigns typically show a 30-day conversion window. The LPV campaigns, however, required a 90-day window to show their true impact.
Most teams would have killed these campaigns after 40 days, calling them inefficient because they failed to produce immediate, direct-response results. By extending their observation window, the team discovered that these campaigns performed just as well as their conversion-focused counterparts; they simply operated on a different timescale.
"I typically look back at the last month's results. But that means that you're always looking at like a 30-day look back window. But never really looked like the campaign was doing anything until I looked back at the last six months... That's when I realized okay, when I give it a bigger timeframe... that's when that campaign actually performed just as well."
-- Ricardo Pouwels
How the System Routes Around Your Solution
A core part of this strategy is the shift from channel-specific targets to blended metrics, specifically Cost to Acquire a New Customer (NCAC) and Media Efficiency Ratio (MER). When agencies manage channels in silos, they optimize for the path of least resistance.
By unifying these metrics, the team forced the system to prioritize total revenue and units sold over individual channel ROAS. This shift revealed that Meta was the primary engine for creating demand, while Google and Amazon were merely capturing it. The result was a move into native advertising (Taboola) and Connected TV (CTV). These channels, while harder to track and slower to pay off, allowed the brand to reach colder audiences, effectively expanding the total addressable market rather than just fighting for a larger share of existing search traffic.
Key Action Items
- Audit Brand Search Spend: Over the next quarter, test reducing spend on branded keywords in Google and Amazon by 20-30%. If organic search volume remains stable, continue to reduce spend to the bare minimum required for brand protection.
- Adopt Blended Metrics: Stop setting ROAS targets by channel. Shift your reporting to focus exclusively on NCAC and MER to prevent channel-specific optimization from cannibalizing your total growth.
- Extend Attribution Windows: For top-of-funnel and awareness campaigns, implement a 90-day look-back window. Do not judge the efficacy of these investments on a 30-day cycle; patience here creates a competitive advantage.
- Diversify Creative Formats: If your traffic is becoming too warm, introduce native advertising or CTV. These channels require high-production or long-form content, which creates a barrier to entry that competitors are often unwilling to clear.
- Prioritize Proactivity: Shift agency or internal team incentives toward identifying new channel opportunities rather than maintaining existing ones. The payoff for this shift usually appears in 12-18 months as a more resilient, diversified revenue stream.