Identifying Fantasy Football Playoff Value Through Role and Efficiency

Key Quotes

"RJ Harvey is RB nine running back nine in expected fantasy points per game over the past month that's per the fantasy points data suite check out their bellcow report you can find that the usage has been pretty good for Harvey so that's three games for him one before the bye two after the two after the bye have been really good I broke this down on Monday's recap with Adam Azar he's got at least I think four red zone carries in each of those games a lot of carries from inside the 10 we saw the route rate and the targets spike this past week higher than it's been all year."

The author argues that RJ Harvey has shown significant improvement in his fantasy football production over the past month, evidenced by his high ranking in expected fantasy points per game. This improvement is attributed to increased usage, particularly in red zone situations and with a spike in route rate and targets, indicating a growing role in the offense.

"The Chargers are kind of like all focused on the running backs and have more matchups where I think that's kind of what we're going to get to see because the offensive line is in trouble here and Herbert's you know obviously we've seen him get banged up at times this year whereas Jacksonville and they're throwing down the field they're being aggressive with their their passing game it feels like they're kind of hitting their stride there a little bit and if you that this is the whole season data which includes the beginning of the season where it was a complete mess for the Jaguars and for JT BTJ in particular if you look at you know over the like past two months or so BTJ is like clearly ahead of McConkey and is in general like not in that bad of a spot."

The speaker suggests that Brian Thomas Jr. (BTJ) is a more attractive fantasy option than Lad McConkey due to the Chargers' offensive struggles and reliance on the run, contrasting it with the Jaguars' improving and aggressive passing game. The data indicates that BTJ has outperformed McConkey over the last two months, despite early-season inconsistencies for both the player and the Jaguars.

"The best thing that he did was anticipation throws on the outs for JJ and that was mostly to Addison the only time they were really able to get Jefferson the football was on either design screens and bubble screens and then a really nice design on a third and 12 that I talked about on on Twitter a little bit earlier that was just really good stuff from Kevin O'Connell to get JJ Justin Jefferson in motion and then underneath again someone to kind of create after the catch but there were some impressive moments for JJ third and nine 12 16 second quarter really excellent anticipation velocity and ball placement on an outbreaker to Nailer."

The analysis highlights that JJ McCarthy's improved performance against the Commanders was characterized by effective anticipation throws, particularly to Addison, and well-executed plays designed to get Justin Jefferson the ball in space. The speaker notes that McCarthy demonstrated good anticipation, velocity, and ball placement on specific throws, suggesting growth in his ability to process the game and deliver accurate passes.

"First hat like first of all maybe we could say it again though I won't just because we got I got a lot of hate for it last week I don't think it was on this show more on the mailbag but the take came from this show never wrong just early on Zay Flowers I'm not just kidding I'm just kidding but in that first half Flowers was more of a focal point than anyone in week 14 in the first half of that Ravens game I mean we're talking about like three plays in a row designed to Flowers around the line of scrimmage third downs going his way vertical shots intermediate unbelievable early third down anticipation throw by Lamar Jackson on the vertical plane to Zay Flowers and then obviously after that Flowers just making plays after the catch looking really good out there."

The speaker asserts that Zay Flowers was a primary focus of the Ravens' offense in the first half of their Week 14 game, a point they had previously made despite receiving criticism. This renewed emphasis on Flowers included designed plays, third-down targets, and vertical shots, with Lamar Jackson demonstrating anticipation on throws to him, leading to Flowers making plays after the catch.

"I do have Nico ahead of AJ Brown because I just feel like CJ Stroud is playing better than Jaylen Hurts and I feel like Nico Collins is slightly better than AJ Brown that that's as far as everything to say because AJ Brown has looked pretty good lately but I think Nico Collins is one of the best players in the league at converting expected fantasy points into actual points and so like I'm I'm feeling all right about the Texans they're off the line struggled a bit against the Chiefs but I think that's to be expected I think overall everything feels really good for Nico but for AJ Brown too I mean he's been going on quite the run here."

The author explains their ranking of Nico Collins above A.J. Brown by stating a belief that C.J. Stroud is currently playing better than Jalen Hurts and that Collins is a more effective player at converting expected fantasy points into actual production. While acknowledging Brown's recent strong performance, the speaker emphasizes Collins's efficiency and the overall positive outlook for the Texans' offense.

"I've got him at wide receiver 24 five spots from the original ranking at wide receiver 24 if there's just no Marvin Harrison Jr at all and we're just like what we've been seeing like he's going to play a similar type of a role I don't think he would keep producing 150 yards per game necessarily but the role is so good that he would probably be up here in the same range I think I would put him good if I knew Marvin Harrison Jr wasn't going to play I think I would put him right behind Nico Collins and AJ Brown."

The speaker is discussing Michael Wilson's fantasy ranking, placing him at wide receiver 24, a significant rise from his original position. They argue that even without Marvin Harrison Jr., Wilson's role is strong enough to warrant this ranking, though perhaps not 150 yards per game. The speaker states that if they knew Harrison Jr. would be out for the rest of the season, they would rank Wilson just behind Nico Collins and A.J. Brown.