Models favor Gotham FC, but the Spirit's recent form and tactical edge, plus Trinity Rodman's impact, suggest an upset in this tightly contested, connoisseur's NWSL Championship final.
Portland's defensive grit and Olivia Moultrie's brilliance break San Diego's attack, securing a playoff win despite adversity and showcasing a resilient "next one up" mentality.
Washington's tactical dominance and Portland's depleted roster fueled a semifinal win, exposing league-wide struggles to retain top talent like Trinity Rodman amidst salary cap constraints.
Gotham FC's superior roster depth and offensive weapons give them a clear edge over an offensively diminished Orlando Pride in the NWSL semifinal matchup.
A single free-kick moment decides a defensive NWSL semifinal, revealing offensive struggles and raising questions about Gotham's championship path against a formidable Washington Spirit defense.
NWSL's 2025 season reveals a dominant Kansas City, a league of mediocrity, and leadership questioned amid fan safety concerns. Playoff preview and championship narratives emerge.
"A League of Their Own" - Mentioned as capturing the essence of Wrigley Field's atmosphere well, particularly in scenes depicting tryouts.
Videos & Documentaries
"A League of Their Own" - Mentioned for its depiction of Wrigley Field and its tryout scenes.
Research & Studies
Research on home field advantage - Referenced as backing the idea that crowds influence officials more than players' heads, backed by studies over the last 10-15 years across multiple sports.
People Mentioned
Maisie Adam (British comedian, Taskmaster contestant, co-host of Big Kick Energy) - Mentioned for her recent trip to America where she attended a Gotham vs. Portland game and had a disappointing experience at Subaru Park.
Michelle Kang - Mentioned as the owner of the Washington Spirit, whose purchase has led to increased fan support.
Aubrey Kingsbury - Discussed in the context of her performance in a penalty shootout, highlighting the interplay of mental preparation and random variance.
Sophia Wilson - Mentioned as a player unavailable for Portland due to pregnancy.
Morgan Weaver - Mentioned as a player unavailable for Portland for the entire season.
Kaya Hanks - Mentioned as a player who tore her ACL and is unavailable for Portland.
Petra Torden - Mentioned as a player whose availability status for Portland is uncertain due to fitness issues.
Dana Castellanos - Mentioned as a potential forward for Portland.
Alexia Binstra - Mentioned as a potential forward for Portland.
Raylin Turner - Mentioned as a reliable creator of high-value chances for Portland and a strong aerial threat.
Olivia Multry - Highlighted for her extraordinary performance for Portland, playing to her strengths and being a key part of their midfield.
Sam Coffee - Identified as a potential midfielder of the year and the most complete all-around midfielder in the league for Portland.
Jesse Fleming - Discussed in the context of finding her role in Portland's midfield, providing stability and supplemental attack.
Rob Gale - Mentioned as the coach who trusts Olivia Multry to play to her strengths.
Adrian Gonzalez - Mentioned as the coach of the Washington Spirit, facing tactical decisions for the midfield.
Hal Hershfeld - Mentioned as a potential single pivot for Washington's midfield.
Cory Bethune - Mentioned as a potential midfielder for Washington.
Lacy Santos - Discussed as a player for Washington who could be a game-changer and a dangerous dead-ball hitter.
Rebe Bernal - Mentioned as a player sticking in Washington's back line.
Kate Weasner - Mentioned as a potential fullback for Washington.
Paige Mattire - Mentioned as a potential fullback for Washington.
Gabby Carl - Mentioned as a potential fullback for Washington.
Esme Morgan - Discussed for her potential use as a fullback for Washington, providing defensive cover.
Narumi Mira - Mentioned as a player Washington could bring in for stability.
Heather Steinbrook - Mentioned as a player Washington could bring in for stability.
Trinity Rodman - Discussed as a key weapon for Washington, potentially coming off the bench and capable of deciding games.
Caitlyn Torpy - Mentioned as a defensive option for Portland, with her on-ball driven metrics noted.
Mally McKenzie - Mentioned as a defensive option for Portland, preferred by Rob Gale.
M'a Vignol - Mentioned as a significant loss for Portland's defense.
Sam Hyatt - Mentioned as a player for Portland whose positive metrics are on-ball driven.
Ashley Hatch - Mentioned as a player who would be a "killer" for M'a Arnold.
Tara McKeon - Discussed as a player for Washington whose availability is a question, and whose dribbling and passing could overload midfield.
Isabella O'Bays - Mentioned as a defender for Portland who can be dragged out of position.
M'a Arnold - Discussed as Portland's goalkeeper, whose ability to play on her line is crucial.
Kasi - Mentioned as a player for Washington who was good in transition.
Monday - Mentioned as a player for Washington who was good in transition.
Sofia Cantore - Mentioned as a potential attacking option for Washington.
Biazanarats - Mentioned in comparison to Trinity Rodman's role in a previous game.
Trevor Larner - His Elo model is mentioned as a projection tool.
Rob Gale - Mentioned as the coach for Portland.
Adrian Young Gonzalez - Mentioned as the coach for Washington.
Organizations & Institutions
Washington Spirit - One of the two teams being previewed for the NWSL Semifinal.
Portland Thorns - One of the two teams being previewed for the NWSL Semifinal.
NWSL City - Mentioned as having "fallen off a little bit."
Portland Trail Blazers - Mentioned in the context of their former stadium, the Memorial Coliseum.
WPBL - Mentioned in relation to Wrigley Field.
Gotham - Mentioned as a team Maisie Adam saw play Portland.
Kansas City - Mentioned in the context of previous NWSL seasons and playoff games.
Louisville - Mentioned as a past opponent of Washington.
San Diego - Mentioned as a potential matchup for Washington.
Websites & Online Resources
American Soccer Analysis (ASA) - Mentioned as a projection model for the game.
Trevor Larner Elo Model - Mentioned as a projection model for the game.
XG Theory Model - Mentioned as a projection model for the game.
Discord - Mentioned for a late incoming message.
Patreon - Mentioned as a way to listen to the show ad-free.
Other Resources
Audi Field - The stadium where the Washington Spirit play, discussed for its potential atmosphere.
Providence Park - The stadium where the Portland Thorns play, discussed for its atmosphere and history.
Memorial Coliseum - The former stadium of the Portland Trail Blazers, noted for its electric atmosphere despite its size.
Wrigley Field - Discussed for its atmosphere, particularly pre-renovation, and its connection to the movie "A League of Their Own."
Expected Own Goals - The name of the podcast, used in the intro.
Big Kick Energy - A women's football podcast in England, co-hosted by Maisie Adam.
Subaru Park - Mentioned as the stadium Maisie Adam had a disappointing experience at.
NWSL Semifinal - The specific match being previewed.
Quarterfinal Recap - Mentioned as a previous episode.
Decision Day - Mentioned in relation to Petra Torden's fitness.
NWSL Playoffs - Referenced in discussions about home field advantage and historical data.
Tournament of Champions - A concept mentioned for future discussion.